Tuesday 7 November 2017

Catalan Cataclysm


Across the globe the concept of self-determination has been a basic tenet for formation of different countries. People of different ethnicities have raced against time to establish their identities through declaration of statehood and vowing allegiance to their lands. In this process they defied all odds and tried to display patriotic fervor by fighting for the cause of their identity by violent and peaceful ways as well. History is replete of examples where new nations were carved by brute force or by peaceful modes of secession. In contemporary times, referendum evolved as a peaceful, legitimate process of consolidating people’s decision and forcing the polite elite to relent to majoritarian aspirations.



Since 1945, thirty new states obtained independent statehood following a referendum. The average time lag from referendum and Independence Day was found to be 15 months.  Declaration of independence in most of the cases has become synonymous to obtaining membership of UN and subsequent establishment of diplomatic ties with comity of nations. But this accepted norm received a major jolt when 2008 Kosovo referendum received a mixed response. UNSC was divided with Serbia claiming Kosovo as integral part of its sovereign territory. Burdened by dilemma UN referred the issue to International Court of Justice which ruled that declaration of independence of Kosovo “didn’t violate any applicable rule of international law” in 2010. By 2013, Serbia and Kosovo established normal relations after EU allowed both countries to become members. Despite, this recent phenomenon, increasingly, ethnicities obstinate on carving out new recognition for themselves have relied on referendum as favored means of declaring independence. Notably, four referendums were held in 2014-Crimean, Donetsk and Lungansk, Scottish and Catalonian referendum. Of which, Crimean and Donetsk, Catalonian were considered illegitimate. While Scottish claims for parting ways with UK suffered a setback with majority preferring to remain united.



Referendums of the recent past are plagued by claims of illegitimacy due to political inflexibility of parent countries. Precisely, for defying the Spanish government and Constitutional ban, the Catalonian referendum for self-determination held by Catalan government on Oct 1st is declared illegitimate. Far from reaching any consensus, the basic objective of a referendum, the region has plunged into a crisis. Clearly, grievous mishandling of the referendum has exacerbated the issue. Unlike the Iraq government which allowed the Kurdish referendum on Sept 25th, Spanish President Mariano Rajoy pledged to stop voting. He sent thousands of police who man-handled the activists, used rubber bullets and confiscated ballot boxes on the poll date. These repressive tactics characteristic of authoritarian regimes strengthened the resolve of Catalans, irked elders and other factions who were earlier indifferent to the idea of independence.



Widening chasms of Spanish and Catalans is not recent origin and stretches back to 300 years. The current outburst of the separatist movement is an outcome of centuries of oppression at the hands of Spanish government. Catalan territory lost its autonomy after the Bourbon Kings of Spain captured Barcelona in 1714. Catalan had unique cultural, linguistic, traditional identity and markedly different from rest of the Spain. Further differential economic growth widened the disparities. Catalan region was one of the most economically advanced regions and flourished enormously by exporting goods to former Spanish colonies- Puerto Rico, Philippines and Cuba till 1898 when Spain had to cede these colonies to the US. Catalan businessmen lost their markets in former Spanish Colonies.  By 1899, traders and the upper middle class began to support the fledging Catalan national movement. Despite cultural differences, demand for autonomy received massive boost only after economic interests of the region suffered. In 1917, giving in to calls of autonomy, Santiago Alba declared Barcelona a free port. Interestingly, voices for greater autonomy always co-existed with articulations of solidarity favoring socialism (largely supported by working class) in Catalan region. Catalan Republicans exiled in Havana wrote Project of Constitution by 1928. In 1931 Republicans of various hues dethroned the Monarchy of Bourbon Kings and the Nationalist forces finally managed to negotiate autonomy in 1932 under the Second Republic. But eventually military coup led by General Francisco Franco toppled the Republican government and restored the unitary state model of administration in Spain.



Authoritarian Franco, ruthlessly demolished cultural identities of Catalans widening the fissures between Madrid and Catalonia. Brutal repression of Franco laid firm foundations for a strong nationalist movement. By mid-1970’s protests by Catalans and Basque Country separatists intensified. In 1978, democracy was restored and self-government with some degree of autonomy to all the 17 regions of Spain. Catalonia was angered as autonomy was granted to regions that were not culturally and linguistically unique. Catalonia was irrevocably miffed when Spain allowed Basque country and Navarre to collect 100% taxes and denied Catalonia of similar privilege.



In 2006 Catalans made a fervent push for greater autonomy whereby Spanish Parliament and Catalonia referendum approved amendment of the Statute of Autonomy of Catalonia 1979. Catalonia was subsequently referred as “nation” in the preamble. The New statute bestowed special privileges wherein Catalonia had organized political structure comprising of Parliament, President, and Executive Council. Government of Catalonia had authority over education, culture, taxation, transportation and had special agencies to control terrorism and immigration. But things changed with Spanish President Rajoy referring this issue to Constitutional Court which after four years of scrutiny claimed that word ‘nation’ has no legal standing. In 2008, for the first time, Spanish government released data on the fiscal contributions of all regions. The data indicated that taxes collected in Catalonia region are invested in development of other regions.  Coincidentally, economic recession badly affected the economy of Spain caused an alarming spike in the unemployment in Catalonia. Spanish Court’s judgement of squashing certain provisions of autonomy for Catalonia triggered a decision of holding referendum on self-determination. President Mas Artur of Catalonia spearheaded the nationalist movement. Protesting court’s ruling, nearly 1 million took to streets in Barcelona and later they rejected austerity in 2010. With economy still reeling under recession, Catalan government in 2012, requested Spain seeking approval for collecting regional taxes (an arrangement in vogue on Basque Country). But President Rajoy rejected the idea saying that it was “contrary to the Constitution”.  President Mas called for snap elections to seek support for independence. New Parliament dominated by pro-referendum parties reached an agreement on conducting independence referendum and forwarded the request to Spanish Parliament for consent. But Spain vetoed referendum deal indicating that Constitution calls for holding referendums on sovereignty nationally not regionally. In 2013, displaying a new resolve towards independence Catalans formed a human chain covering 250 miles in Catalonia. Despite constitutional ban, non-binding referendum was held in November 2014. The turnout was 36% with 80.8% supporting independence.



Referendum issue created political instability prompting President Mas to call for second snap elections. Internal rifts and tensions within Catalan political parties intensified and no party obtained absolute majority. After “rancorous infighting”, a new coalition of parties led by Carles Puigdemont took over as the President in January 2016 and sought discussion on referendum and 46 issues. But Rajoy who was re-elected to Parliament in October 2016 demanded “loyal cooperation” for negotiating issues related to Catalonia. In the meanwhile, Spanish government announced €3.9 billion towards infrastructure development in Catalonia this year but when the final budget was rolled out it was much less. When the Catalan government questioned the reduced investment, Spanish Finance Minister replied that the deficit amount will be sanctioned in 2018. In May, President of Catalan Assembly was arrested for allowing a Parliamentary debate on independence. Together, these simmering discrepancies over the financial issues and reluctance to negotiate autonomy culminated in protests across Catalonia.  On September 6th Catalan Parliament passed a law for referendum on secession from Spain and pronounced that independence would be binding with a simple majority and doesn’t need a minimum turnout. Next day, Constitutional court declared referendum illegitimate and ordered use of force to prevent it. Despite use of force, referendum recorded 43% turnout of which 92% voted for independence. Catalan parliament invited international observers for the polls but they declared it invalid, citing a failure in meeting international requirements.



Catalonia culturally distinct from Spain, makes for 6% of the territory and 16% of population (7.5 million). It accounts for a fifth of economic output, one quarter of exports, half of start-up investments and home to one third of Olympic medalists of Spain. It borders France on one side and Mediterranean and has tremendous  tourism potential. Catalonia is vital for financial, economic, and political stability of Spain. But, Rajoy, in a bid to quell rising tide of separatism in Catalonia hastily used force and invited ire of Catalans.



Interestingly, though Catalans overwhelmingly voted for secession, Puigdemont stopped short of declaring independence for various reasons. Catalan political parties are ideologically divided and they critically lack a commitment to establish an independent nation. They don’t have a clear and coherent map for independence. Business class preferred to be part of Spain. Moreover, EU unequivocally enunciated that independent Catalonia will lose its membership and its re-entry would depend on the consent of all members including Spain. Many observers, contend that an overwhelming yes is not truly representative since undecided or disengaged voters stayed away from voting.



As of now a pall of disenchantment and mistrust looms over Spain with the government and Catalans refusing to relent. Spain has revved up its oppression, jailed Catalan separatists on charges of sedition. Spain had earlier arrested leaders who mobilized pro-independence referendum in 2014. Similar treatment might await the Catalan leaders who led referendum now. Reminding Catalans of authoritarian Franco, Rajoy called for unveiling article 155 of constitution, that empowers Central government to suspend self-rule of Catalonia and terminate the powers of all Catalan institutions including regional Police. While Rajoy waits for the approval of parliament, Puigdemont asserted that Catalan Parliament is in complete control of Catalonia’s finances and broadcasting services. He lashed out at Spain for abusing the democratic principles and rule of law. This confrontational approach escalated crisis leaving little room for negotiations. Spillover effects of the referendum for self-determination is already felt in parts of Europe with wealthy territories of Italy Lombardy and Veneto voting for greater autonomy on Sunday. Separatists in Flander’s region of Belgium, Transnistria of Moldova and France’s Corsica are now active. With Spain threatening to sack top Catalan officials, people are planning to launch massive civil disobedience movement.



Majorly, ethnicity (identity) issues, have been a formidable trigger for claims to a specific territory. Additionally, economic (unequal distribution of resources, poverty); political (grievances, institutional representation) and structural factors (geography and demography) too spark separatist movements. Interestingly while ethnicity is irreconcilable, other factors can be addressed by making suitable amendments in the constitution.  But countries necessarily refrain from conceding ethnic groups claims for a territory for the fear of precedent-setting wherein other groups might be encouraged to make similar claims.  Spain perceived Catalans demand for independence as a threat to its territorial integrity and ratcheted up repressive measures. But use of brute force or authority bestowed by constitution needlessly escalated the crisis. Rajoy would be doing Spain a great service by embracing the concept of “functioning federalism” and by bestowing greater autonomy to Catalonia.


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