Tuesday, 28 April 2015

The Himalayan Tragedy: Nepal’s Earthquake


The heart rendering images of the victims of the Nepal’s devastating 7.9 magnitude earthquake is appalling. The epicentre of the quake was 80 kilometres from Kathmandu, the most densely populated region of the country. This region is known to be earthquake prone and the deadly tragedy of this magnitude was long anticipated by scientists. The intensity of this disaster was believed to be as powerful as the explosion of 20 thermonuclear weapons. The last earthquake that struck the Kathmandu valley 81 years ago in 1934 was biggest in the region with intensity of 8.3 killed 19,000 people in Nepal and Bihar.

Scientific Explanation for incidence of Earth Quakes:

According to the reports of the Nepal National Society for Earth Quake Technology, old records dated from 1255 referred to this region as Indus-Yarlung suture Zone and pronounced that the region would record earthquake of high magnitude every 75 years. The periodical incidence of earthquakes is due to the tectonic collisions between the Indian subcontinent plate and the Eurasian plate which collided 40 to 50 million years ago. The Indian subcontinent plate is constantly pushing itself towards Asia in the North at a geographically faster rate of 5 centimetres or 2 inches a year. As the plates push against each other constantly they generate lot of friction and stress and the pressure remains accumulated until the crust ruptures leading to a massive earthquake. Stresses in the earth’s outer layer push the sides of the fault line releasing energy which travels through the earth’s crust and cause tremors thereby the ground starts shaking. During this process they dissipate lot of energy similar to a thermonuclear weapon explosion.

 

According to an earthquake expert of Chinese University the plate moved forward 6.5 feet or 2 meters in Saturday’s earthquake causing a shallow earthquake of approximately 11km deep. Usually shallow quakes tend to cause more damage and more aftershocks than the deeper ones. Nepal is located on the southern edge of the thrust fault line where one tectonic plate forces itself upon the other and hence the region is earth quake prone.

The tectonic collisions in the region have resulted in the formation of the youngest Himalayan ranges. The fault line lies along the 2500 kilometre range and the constant collision between the Indian and Eurasian plates pushes up the height of the ranges by a centimetre every year. While the region experiences severe earthquakes regularly due to the tectonic collisions, occurrence of these events couldn’t be predicted with accuracy. But some scientists opine that if the pressure build up is consistent and homogenous, the region could be rocked by severe tremors every four or five decades. But due to the complexity of the forces along the fault lines, the time of occurrences of the disaster couldn’t be predicted.

Some scientists maintained that plains of Nepal in the quake affected region suffered less tremors and hence less damage as they were on solid bed rock. Contrastingly the regions in the North Indian plains near Indo-Nepalese border experienced greater tremors because of their shallow silt and sandy surfaces. Past Earth quake tragedies in this region suggest that quakes of very high magnitude were unusually high leading to severe loss of lives and property.

Global Earth Quake Safety Initiative report of 2001 had warned Kathmandu of high potential lethality disaster. It had also enlisted 21 other cities across the World in the list. While Nepal has been trying to implement new building codes to cope up with the disasters, it being one among the poorest and least developed countries of the World, money has been biggest hiccup to implement the envisioned building codes. According to Engineers without borders UK, nearly 80% of the buildings constructed informally in Nepal without engineering expertise. Unfortunately in the recent earthquake collapsed buildings and structures accounted for three quarters of all fatalities. After the earthquake of 1988, Nepal has formulated recommended building codes in collaboration with United Nations Development Program by 1994. But poor adherence and enforcement by the municipalities has resulted in mushrooming of thousands of houses in the Kathmandu valley which don’t comply with the set codes.

The Darbar Square, the densest region of the capital, several historical structures and other administrative buildings are reduced to rubbles. With poor infrastructure in place, even the emergency and rescue teams are now finding it increasingly difficult to reach the disaster struck region. Rainfall on the second day of the quake impeded the rescue operations. Of the seventy districts of Nepal thirty five districts were struck by quake. All the regions that experienced intense tremors lie in steep mountainous region have high propensity of landslide occurrence. In 2008 mountainous Sichuan province of China was jolted by an earthquake of magnitude 7.9 generated nearly 200,000 landslides. Similar kind of situation is expected for Nepal. The disaster so far claimed 4800 lives and the numbers are expected to swell as more bodies are extricated from the debris. The toll of severely injured has crossed 10,000 mark.  While the scale seismic activity is not so huge to cause severe damage but the intensity of destruction was compounded by the dense population and degradation of the environment.

Situation in India and lessons to be learnt

States of Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal, Sikkim and Assam too suffered damages from this earthquake leading to death of 70 people. Geologists repeatedly warned and cautioned the countries in the region of impending Himalayan Seismic Hazard. They predicted that capital cities of Nepal, India, Bhutan, Bangladesh and Pakistan teeming with millions of people to be more vulnerable to damage from quakes. Delhi, the densely populated capital sits on three active fault lines. The tremors of the recent quake were felt in Delhi 970 kilometres away and it falls in category four of seismic zone. Moreover the density of the high-rise buildings and the soil conditions makes it highly quake-prone. North eastern states and Jammu and Kashmir are in category five seismic zones making them more vulnerable.

India having suffered the worst humanitarian disaster during the Uttarakhand cloud burst and the recent Kashmir floods should abandon its cavalier attitude towards earth quake safety and development in Himalayas. The developmental plans must accommodate environmentally viable projects. 58.6% of land mass in India is prone to earthquakes of medium to high intensity. Since earthquakes can’t be predicted or prevented Indian authorities should implement measures to mitigate the extent of damage. These mitigation measures must be crafted into new development projects and old buildings should be retrofitted with materials that can withstand quakes. Municipalities must strictly enforce building codes which comply with disaster mitigate measures.

Operation Maitri

Responding to the impassioned appeal of Prime Minister Sushil Koirala of Nepal for humanitarian aid, India swiftly despatched NDRF personnel to Nepal. The rescue and relief operations in Nepal carried by the Government of India and the Indian Armed Forces coded as Operation Maitri started its action barely 15 minutes after the quake with ex-servicemen of Gorkha Regiment guiding the rescue teams. The instantaneous readiness of the rescue personnel and the alacrity displayed by Modi in convening various meetings and assigning specific tasks in the crucial hour of need is commendable. Lately encumbered by natural disasters India has developed immense capacities to carry out missions in trying situations. India’s operations dating back to 1980’s in Sri Lanka, Maldives and Mauritius are a testimony to its credentials as a valued responder.

During the 2004 tsunami Indian ships were the first to reach Sri Lanka. A couple of months back when fresh water units of Maldives collapsed India replenished them with adequate supplies of fresh water by air and water too. India has been consistently demonstrating sophisticated capability to use its military and civilian resources for humanitarian causes. These swift actions have been instrumental in boosting India’s foreign policy in the neighbourhood. Despite the inclement weather conditions, within 24 hours of the quake Indian personnel brought home 250 nationals from the disaster zone. Besides deployment of rescue personnel, material and medical teams were flown to Nepal. Indian armed forces on rescue operations besides earning laurels for the country are reorienting underutilised military assets for humanitarian endeavours. The back to back missions-Operation Rahat, aimed at bringing back the Indian nationals trapped from the war-torn Yemen and the Operation Maitri vouch for India’s unparalleled commitment towards humanitarian activities. India is receiving requests from various countries for evacuation of their national trapped in Nepal. So far, 24 military aircrafts, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles and hundreds of armed personnel are pressed into action to aid authorities of the tragedy struck nation. According to UN estimate 46 lakh people have been affected and property worth $5 billion was destroyed due to the earth quake. 

Over the years Indian forces accumulated rich experience and enormous capabilities making them front runners in disaster relief and ambassadors of peace. With its prowess in disaster operations India would rise into a benign power whose growth will be welcomed in the region.

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