Friday, 17 April 2015

Is it time to consolidate a clear foreign policy strategy towards Pakistan?


Sudden surge of cumulative actions across our Western border has become cause of serious concern and outrage. For the past months, the sequence of events has resulted in blowing off the lid of belligerency of our western neighbour Pakistan. In the latest development in the last fortnight, Zakiur Rehman Lakhvi, the master conspirator of 26/11 from the Rawalpindi’s Adayala Jail was released on bail in spite of his reputation as one of the most dreadful terrorists of the South Asia. Also, the brazenness and temerity of the Pakistani High Commissioner in holding series of meetings with the Hurriyat leaders under India’s nose despite India expressing severe reservations for any such negotiations challenge India’s incoherent foreign policy towards Pakistan.

While the arrest of Lakhvi the commander of LeT (Laskhar E Toiba) has been a part of the high-handed drama staged by Pakistan to assert the World and to please its western master that it is hard on terror, it is very clear that Pakistan will never act against its self-groomed and patronised hard core militant. India should read between the lines and change its strategy. Though India handed over enough evidence in form of dossiers to nail down the conspirator of the Mumbai attacks, Pakistan always defended that the evidence is inconclusive and insufficient. It will be a futile exercise on part of India to keep pursuing Lakhvi’s bail with Pakistan who treated LeT commander as a state guest in Jail.

Frustrated by recalcitrance of Pakistan India always took an umbrage under suspension of talks with Pakistan as a knee-jerk political reaction. Instead, India should adopt the long standing Chinese strategy of holding prolific and perpetual border talks, which it has been continuing for the past 30 years. Unfailingly, India should disappoint Pakistan by persistently engaging in border talks. This way India can project its unflinching faith and commitment in resolving the border issue peacefully to the International community. The talks between both the nations from the past six decades didn’t entail substantial gains as Pakistan is not ready not part with even an inch of territory. It is an open secret that Pakistan never willed or even showed signs of containing its state-sponsored terrorism which has become its national tenet.  Thus India without conceding much to Pakistan during talks can win brownie points.

Recently the Pakistani government received a bounty from the US whose President on his bilateral visit to India expressed concern over inaction of Pakistan towards the growing terrorism in South Asia. The benevolent gift from the Western master in the form in the sophisticated arms and weapons were disbursed to the country under the banner of arming the soldiers of Pakistan to support its counterterrorism and counter-insurgency operations. In spite of the growing clout against the nation as the hub of terrorism it is distressing as how the US is deliberately committed to arm the nation. Since the year 2000, portraying themselves as victims of terrorism, Pakistan suckered $31 billion from the US.

The list of the covert Pakistani actions aimed at destabilising India understates it ideology of death by a thousand cuts. Some of its covert operations include the Khalistani terrorism patronised in Punjab from across the border 30 years ago followed by igniting separatist movement in Jammu and Kashmir. Immediately after the partition Pakistan commenced its clandestine military operations in the form a tribal raid initially in 1947. These were followed by three conventional wars. In a move to destabilise India it supported every form of separatist movement in the North-East Region as well. Pakistan has never left any stone unturned to foment trouble in India.  Unfortunately the monster of the Pakistan state-sponsored terrorism spread its tentacles in different parts of country. The movement rapidly gained momentum by targeting and recruiting India youth.  The Pakistani jihad had thus spread a reign of terror across India resulting in several fatalities outside J&K in various terrorist attacks. Pakistan over the past few decades inflicted tremendous harm on India. It has successfully created a reign of terror in India by periodic terrorist attacks across various cities in India. The economic damage, in terms of maintaining Special Forces to monitor, mitigate and effectively tackle terrorist activities is incalculable. Even the colossal loss of human lives lost due to this sustained violence is demoralising.

Pakistan has been persistently amplifying its hatred towards India as its sustained national project the lack of strategic coherent policy towards Pakistan by the successive regimes in India has augmented proliferation of terrorism in India.

But unlike Pakistan which is steadily heading towards the path of ruination India in spite of its vulnerabilities and lack of strong leadership continued to flourish. Pakistan has been fostering sectarian violence and flushing jihadis into Afghanistan and India for several decades. Subsequently it was conjured up by the growing conflagration of uncontrolled extremist Islamic terrorism. Every state institution in the country is trapped by the corrosive Islamist terrorism and the venom of the extremism is now poisoning its own roots threatening the very existence of the state itself. Ajai Sahni, a counter- terrorism expert in his paper: Counter Terrorism: The core issue in Pakistan indicated that “if India can hold onto Jammu and Kashmir operation for another 15-20 years, Pakistan will eventually destroy itself without India doing anything substantial to secure this end”.

BJP has made a great beginning in this regard by performing extremely well in the assembly elections of Jammu and Kashmir. It displayed stupendous determination and commitment to salvage the state by extending a friendly hand to the pro-Pakistani PDP party and became a coalition partner in the state administration. During the initial days of government formation, BJP’s sentiments and its nationalistic credentials were severely rebuked due to the release of Masrat Alam, a hard-core separatist leader. Modi in his parliamentary address silenced the opposition by promising stern against the separatists. But massive controversy broke few days back when Masrat Alam commanded a huge rally in Srinagar where separatist leaders hoisted Pakistan flag and raising pro-Pakistan slogans. The central home minister immediately issued a stern warning to the PDP to arrest the separatist leader. Within two days he was arrested and the situation was brought under control. The pro-Pakistan slogan in the valley is music to Pakistan government. But the centre quickly dashed its hopes by scuttling the separatist movement.

Tough days are ahead for the Indian leadership with Pakistan gearing up the visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping who has vouched to stand by its strong-ally and partner of all times who promised investments worth $46 billion. The visit will finalise the long pending sale of 8 submarines to Pakistan. In turn Pakistan as token of friendship has offered China 40-year rights to run its strategic Gwadar port. Gwadar port is located at the mouth of the Persian Gulf is the gateway for 20% of the World’s oil. By gaining operating rights Chinese oil imports can bypass the Straits of Malacca between Malaysia and Indonesia which risks blockade during wartimes, gain access to Gulf countries and can possibly built a naval base in the strategic Arabic sea. China is also planning to build an economic corridor connecting Gwadar to Xinjiang province to transport oil and gas.

To reinstate India’s resolve to strengthen friendly ties with the neighbouring nations the foreign secretary of India recently embarked on a SAARC yatra. But India’s positivity is responded with alarming hostility. Under these circumstances India has to inevitably evolve a strategic and coherent foreign policy towards Pakistan to stem the growing clout of terrorism.
 
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