Sunday 20 October 2019

With China at the helm, Pakistan escapes FATF “Black List”


Just days after the spectacle of bonhomie between India and China, Financial Action Task Force (FATF) chaired by China decided to keep Pakistan in grey list. Official reports indicate, Pakistan has complied with mere five of the 27 tasks in action-list for controlling the terror financing to JeM (Jaish-e-Mohammed) and LeT (Laskhar-e-Toiba). But China has let off “all weather friend” Pakistan with a stern warning. The intergovernmental body FATF established in 1989 during the G7 Summit in France set standards and legal measures to combat money laundering. After the 9/11 attacks in 2001, terror financing has been added to its charter. Through peer reviews from member countries FATF monitors the implementation of its recommendations. In 2012 it included measures to counter financing for controlling weapons of mass destruction

FATF currently has forty recommendations for money laundering and nine Special Recommendations (SR) for terror financing. SR for countering terror financing are advocated by 180 countries. Since 9/11, cracking down on global terrorism has become one of the prime objectives of this organisation. In line with its statutory functioning, under its jurisdiction FATF started identifying the Non-Cooperative Countries/Territories or putative FATF blacklist which essentially function as epicentres of terror. FATF doesn’t have investigative authority but black listing effectively protected the international financing systems from misuse. Ever since FATF has been regularly releasing list of the blacklisted countries. Countries which are deemed as safe havens for terror are initially included in the grey list warning them to tackle terror financing issues. If the country fails to implement satisfactory measures it will be black listed.

As of now Iran and North Korea are in black list and both going through severe financial crisis. Black listing will be a huge blow to Pakistan battling massive economic slowdown. Access to international lending, exports, imports and remittances will be impacted. A debt-ridden Pakistan will find it extremely difficult to extricate itself from vicious debt trap.

Currently FATF has 39 members- 37 member countries and two blocs- EU (European Union) and GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council). It has 30 Observer member which includes countries and international organisations like IMF and the UN.  FATF countries have associate members or FATF style regional bodies (FSRB) which carry out similar functions. In August a 41-member plenary of Asia Pacific Group an associate member of FATF placed Pakistan under the “Enhanced Expedited Follow Up List” for complying with only 8 of 40 recommendations. Out of 11 effective parameters it was judged low on 10. APG report indicated that Pakistan shall remain in the grey list at the FATF plenary (decision making body) in Paris starting on Oct 13th.  Plenary meets which meets thrice a year in February, June and October to decide inclusion of countries in various lists. Decisions are taken through consensual approval of member. Veto by three members can stall any majority decision.

Burgeoning evidence against Pakistan as safe havens forced FATF to place Pakistan under grey lost in June 2018. Islamabad managed to avoid such inclusion in February 2018 with the support of China, Turkey and Saudi Arabia. But in June 2018, America prevailed on Saudi Arabia and assuring a bigger role for China at FATF India managed Beijing. As a result, Pakistan was included in grey list. China subsequently became vice-president of FATF. For three years between 2012 and 2015 Pakistan has been in grey list. China’s term of one-year Vice-Presidentship began in July 2018. In June 2019 China became President.

Pakistan’s poor credibility and compliance record mandates FATF to include it in the black list, with Beijing at the helm of affairs, countries were sceptical of Islamabad’s inclusion in the black list. Voicing out his scepticism in UNGA address, Prime Minister Modi urged nations from meddling in the functioning of global regulatory bodies. Rampant political intervention has rendered these bodies ineffective and toothless. China vetoed UN resolution for inclusion of Masood Azhar’s in UNSC 1267 list as internationally designated terrorist for a decade. Similarly, UNHRC currently dominated by countries with immense financial clout and abysmal human rights has become a dodgy institution now. Setting dangerous precedents powerful countries are blatantly undermining credibility of global organisations are giving free pass to rogue nations, facilitating evasion of scrutiny and sanctions.

As a perfunctory measure days before FATF plenary session Pakistan which has custodial possession of LeT leader Hafiz Saeed, arrested four terrorists- Zafar Iqbal, Yahya Aziz, Muhammed Ashraf and Abdul Salam on charges of terror financing like in June. Ahead of FATF’s decision Alice Wells head of US department’s South and Central Asian Bureau welcomed arrest of the four terrorists and called for their prosecution. Well versed with Pakistan’s facile measures the US refused to call the bluff of Islamabad’s perfidy.

Despite renewed affirmations for countering global terror, countries with vested interests in Pakistan have been using terrorism as a geopolitical instrument. While the role of China’s support to rescue Pakistan at international forum is well known, the US keen on obtaining Pakistani support for bringing Afghan Taliban to negotiation table has softened his stance. Together resistance from the anti-India squad comprising of Malaysia, Turkey has ensured Pakistan’s from being downgraded to black list. The decision is once again deferred by four months setting February as the new deadline for completing full action. In the meanwhile, Pakistan will continue to receive aid from IMF, ADB, World Bank and the EU and will avert the risk of being downgraded by credit rating agencies like Moody’s Fitch and S&P.

FAFT’s decision underscores the robustness of China-Pakistan tango that is successfully hoodwinking the regulatory measures of global bodies. In anticipation of Beijing’s rescuing act, Pakistan has reportedly leased 55 sq km of land stretch in the Harami Nala near to Sir Creek Area, 10 km from the International Maritime Boundary. This latest act is instructive of growing Sino-Pakistan nexus to counter India. Emboldened Pakistan will continue to intensify border offensive.


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