Wednesday 17 August 2016

India’s evocative message to Pakistan’s pernicious game plan


The recent bold references to human rights violation perpetrated by Pakistan in Gilgit- Baltistan and Balochistan by Prime Minister Modi at the All Party Meeting and in his Independence Day address from ramparts of Red Fort marks a sudden shift in India’s stratagem towards Pakistan. Modi’s remarks are viewed as a tactical retort to Pakistan High Commissioner Abdul Basit’s complacent statement that Pakistan is dedicating its Independence Day to Kashmir’s freedom. India’s Balochistan outreach can be traced back to Ajit Doval’s stern warning to Pakistan “you do one more Mumbai, you lose Balochistan”. The temerity of Doval’s doctrine gradually made way to Modi’s Pakistani outreach which included a sudden stopover to Lahore to wish Prime Minister Sharif on his birthday. While Pathankot attacks unhallowed India’s hopes of peace with the neighbor, turbulence in Kashmiri Valley reflected Pakistan’s agenda of bleeding India with thousand cuts. Latest reference to Balochistan witnesses emergence of Modi-Doval Doctrine   marking an end to India’s hesitation to raise the issue of Balochistan when dealing with Pakistan. A sharp overview of the string of events that unfurled in the region in the past fortnight may help in appreciating the need for sudden shift in Indian strategy.

The quick turn of Pakistan-instigated events in the past five weeks has virtually pushed Kashmir Valley into chaos. Insidious perpetration of violence by Pakistan in the valley is now established beyond an iota of doubt. 22 year-old, Bahadur Ali, alias Saifuddin LeT who was captured in the North Kashmir by Indian security forces strengthened India’s suspicions. During the interrogations by National Intelligence Agency (NIA) he admitted to have worked for Jamat-Ud-Dawaa (JuD) headed by Hafeez Saeed from an age of 14. He was radicalized and motivated to join Jihadi movement after watching the videos of Kashmiri separatist Asiya Andrabi, head of all-female group of Dukhtaran-e-Millat and other anti-India propagandists. Later he was trained and armed by the LeT (Laskhar-e-Taiba) under the aegis of Pakistan Military. For the past two years, he was working for Falah-e-Insaniyat (FIF), an NGO of LeT controlled by Hafiz Khaled Waheed, son-in-law of Hafeez Saeed. He revealed that a batch of three LeT terrorists, including him were pushed into Indian side around July 11-12 to foment terror. He said that when he got separated from others, he was scared and called LeT command centre PoK-3 headed by Khalid Waheed, who chided him to carry his orders. Ali’s confessions has added heft to India’s assertions of Pakistan’s role in Kashmir valley.

Pakistan’s Denial

Following the confessions of Bahadur Ali, India summoned Pakistan high commissioner Abdul Basit for promoting unabated infiltration of militants across the border and issued a demarche. As expected Pakistan immediately denied all the allegations. It claimed to have strictly adhered to the precincts of not allowing use of its territories for militant activities. Till now, India has submitted numerous dossiers but unfortunately nothing has ever changed.  Indeed submission of dossiers to Pakistani counterparts is rather churlish as Islamabad refuses to take any action under the ruse of insufficient evidence. In the latest move, India has allowed consular access to Bahadur Ali, made demarche public and allowed airing of confession of captured terrorist. Still Pakistan continues to feign ignorance and remains in denial mode. 

Overview of terror outfits

Though sanctions were imposed on various militant outfits that emanated from Pakistan’s deep state, international sanctions seems to have lost relevance over a period of time. Pakistan defied all international dictums. By cleverly changing the semantics of various outfits Pakistan is evading censure from international bodies. Primal militant organization, LeT was formed in 1990 with headquarters at Murdike, 30 km from Lahore. Funds from Saudi Arabia and assistance from ISI kept it afloat whereby it launched an armed struggle in Kashmir. After the attacks on Indian Parliament in 2001, LeT was banned. Later LeT’s co-founder Hafeez Saeed formed JuD. JuD has funds worth 400 crores of which, nearly half of them are obtained from illegal narcotic and arms smuggling. Besides, donations and assistance packages from Pakistan government keeps its coffers overflowing. JuD masterminded 26/11 Mumbai Attacks. Following an international outcry UN imposed financial sanctions and Pakistan was forced to ban JuD. Subsequently JuD began carrying out its nefarious activities under the banner of NGO FIF, a humanitarian relief and charitable organization.

Reports indicate that in 2010 militant outfits under the banner of FIF, delivered relief supplies to flood-affected people in POK and simultaneously expedited the process of radicalization & anti-India propaganda. Recently, acting on a tip-off, US designated FIF as foreign terrorist organization. Further, Saudi Arabia authorities while unearthing the links to attacks in Medina traced its origins to radicalization activities of FIF. Under the garb of charity, the militants are now trying to woo Kashmiris by dispatching food and relief supplies to the valley through FIF. The duplicity of Pakistan is glaringly repulsive.

 


 

India has refused Pakistan’s offer of supplies and India’s response can be summed up in the following clips:

 


The extent of Pakistan’s jingoistic rhetoric on Kashmir is inconceivable. It started running Azadi train carrying the posters of Burhan Wani across Pakistan.


 

Internationalizing Kashmir Issue

Pakistan rejuvenated interest towards Kashmir issue stems from various developments in the sub-continent. Counter-terrorism cooperation has become bedrock of Modi’s foreign policy outreach drawing lot of support from unexpected corners. India under Modi forged agreements with various nations for strengthening cooperation in intelligence sharing, monitoring terror outfits and tracking financial transactions. Modi’s flagrant amiability among Muslim countries and India’s growing comity among Pakistan’s neighbors has discomfited Islamabad. Pakistan began to feel the heat. Conjured with fleeting containment and stoppage of fund flows from US, Pakistan upped ante against India with a vise-like strangle hold on Kashmir.

Ashok Malik in his article outlined a plausible game play adopted by Pakistan. Latest global developments have driven Pakistan into Chinese embrace. To evade questions on the legality of planned China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) in the disputed territory of Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (POK), Pakistan began its campaign at the UN by internationalizing Kashmir insurgency. He elaborates that the primary purpose of CPEC plan is not about enhancing the economic opportunities and seeking access to Arabian Sea. But under the ensign of infrastructure development through CPEC both countries are steadily installing military bases at strategic locations and integrating the region. To justify the construction of CPEC in disputed territory, China and Pakistan have colluded to turn Kashmir into bedlam of terror by stoking passions of civilians. With India slowly but steadily expressing concerns over latest developments in POK in bilateral talks with China and other international interlocutors, the onus of justification of CPEC is mounting. POK issue is finding a greater mention in international discourses with India raising the issue at UN General Assembly in 2015, in response to Sharif’s four point agenda. China’s international reputation which hit a low note for condemning the verdict of Court of Permanent Arbitration will be subject to more scrutiny for its involvement in developing military installations in a disputed region. To subvert the international comeuppance the duo are effectively raking up the Kashmiri rhetoric.

Previously Pakistan’s vociferous tirade against India was focused on denial of azadi to Kashmir. Now it has changed its stance. It no longer plays a second fiddle to voices of azadi but desperately aspires to annex the Indian part of Kashmir, safely overruling the fact that Kashmir is integral part of India. By making vicious propaganda about the killings of civilians, it intends to extend its claims over Indian part of Kashmir. Accentuated Sino-Pakistan ties emboldened Pakistan. Its bellicosity is reflected in the strident tenor and brazen public parade of strategic assets on streets of Islamabad protesting Rajnath Singh’s visit. Adding weight to these voices, Nawaz Sharif too sharpened attacks on Kashmir Valley turbulence. Declaration of black day, questioning of human rights violations at UN earlier this month were all small ploys in the larger scheme. Sharif’s references to Kashmir in a public speech in PoK hinting at eventual annexation are an outcome of the growing Pakistan-China nexus in the region. Vicious attacks of separatists against Indian state, orchestrated public outrage added more heft to this fictitious strategy.

Violating Indus Water Treaty

Now, Pakistan besides fanning terror in Kashmir it violating the Indus Waters treaty and contemplating to institute new arbitration proceedings against India at Hague. India is perhaps the only Asian country to have sealed landmark water sharing agreements with lower riparian states- Pakistan and Bangladesh. Honoring the rather unfavorable arbitrations, India amicably settled water sharing issues.  Violating the agreement of 1960 of mutually settling the issue, Pakistan is now seeking intervention of a third party. Pakistan is raising objections to construction of hydro-electric power projects- Kishenganga and Ratle. Ironically, Pakistan’s all-weather friend-China a birth place for several rivers hasn’t signed a single agreement with over 10 countries into which these waters flow. It is time India stops being overwhelmingly generous and naïve. New Delhi should now endeavor to garner support of like-minded countries, strengthen it claims on PoK, draw international attention to human rights violations in PoK and refer Pakistan’s prevarications to UN Security Council.  With Pakistan going all guns blazing to keep the valley boiling, Indian Parliament engaged in debate on Kashmir unanimously passed a resolution “appealing to the people of Kashmir Valley to restore peace and harmony”. Instead of raising tirade against Pakistan Indian political parties displayed abominable naivety by persisting on going ahead with dialogue process.

For the past seven decades, being a larger partner, India was considerate and offered several concessions to Pakistan (Shimla Agreement and Lahore Agreement). Smitten by acerbic animosity Pakistan always denigrated Indian disposition. Intriguingly so, Indian politicians too refused to learn lessons and diligently worked to engage with Pakistan and other stake holders controlled by Pakistan to discuss Kashmir issue. (While engagement with stakeholders is highly recommended for comprehensive integration, India failed to identify relevant stakeholders).Till now Pakistan has been raising Kashmir issue at every possible international forum even as the POK region has been silently bearing the brunt of Pakistani atrocities. India’s continued silence, muted response and uncharacteristic detachment from POK might be counterintuitive. Soon all narratives on massive human right violations carried out by Pakistan in POK will disappear from international discourse. While Rajnath Singh’s assurance in the Parliament that no talks will be held on Kashmir but only on POK is reassuring, India must strictly adhere to this new dictum. If India fails to raise from its seventy year old defensive enigma of fixing and resolving the Kashmir issue India forever will be mired in the stumbling block. Moreover with China indirectly aiding, supporting and goading Pakistan’s brutal cross-border terrorism India must now assert its claims over the entire province of Jammu and Kashmir. Else Pakistan’s iniquitous plans might contend that POK is not a disputed territory but its legitimate territory and that India illegally occupied Kashmir.

@ Copyrights reserved.

No comments: