Tuesday 3 February 2015

Building bonds with China


After the fortuitous visit of President of Obama there has been spirit of renewed enthusiasm between both countries. But this charter of Indian foreign policy has heightened apprehensions of China who was busy reading between the lines. To assert ties with the Asian giant following the departure of Obama New Delhi deployed foreign minister, Sushma Swaraj and the new foreign secretary Jai Shankar, adept in the trade of diplomacy to allay the strategic anxieties of Beijing with a message of friendship and understanding. As a part of affirmative action Sushma Swaraj laid foundation for the Prime Minister Modi’s long overdue trip to Beijing in May.

The synergy between India and China froze over a period of time due to the Nehruvian legacy and the debacle of the 1962 Indo-China war. Further, the recent aggressions along the Depsang plains in 2013 and consequent military build up just before the visit of Premier Li Keqiang in Chumar last summer and unrelenting aggression during the visit of Xi Jinping hamstrung efforts of India to rev up bilateral ties between the two nations. These irritants constantly remind India of the urgent need to resolve border disputes with China at the earliest. Reducing abrasions along border can alone impart needed momentum to renovate bilateral engagement between both nations. Previous governments hamstrung by coalition compulsions failed to proactively engage with China. Now BJP, with absolute majority in Lower House and poised to extend it to other house is bereft of any obligations must leave no stone unturned to exterminate the border hostilities. Swaraj during her visit prodded her Chinese counterpart to explore the possibility of out-of-box solutions for the same. She asserted that friendly ties with the US do not cast a shadow on its relations with China. President Xi broke the protocol and met Swaraj to express his solidarity.

With Modi at the helm of foreign policy, India is rapidly evolving and framing new global rules to advance its economic and strategic interests. Accordingly, India signalled its intentions to work with China by lending support to the BRICS New Development Bank and signed the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank both dominated by China. Thus New Delhi asserted its intentions of actively engaging with China. While some progress has been made during President Xi’s visit to India in manufacturing sector and resulted in Chinese investments of $1.1 billion there is a greater scope for cooperation in different areas. Currently, Indo-China trade is pegged at $38 billion which is much lower than Pakistan ($66 billion), its irreplaceable-all weather friend. It is important to reiterate that despite its strategic polarities, China’s trade with the US accounts is worth $570 billion. The challenge for Modi’s government would be to consolidate ties with the US to checkmate the strategic overtures of China without undermining the long term economic entitlements by actively engaging with Beijing.

The opening of alternative motorable route through Tibet to Kailash Yatra marked the beginning of new chapter in the Indo-Chinese relations.  India registered yet another major achievement during the trilateral summit of foreign ministers of Russia, India and China (RIC). China and Russia decided to back India for moving proposal of Comprehensive Convention on International Terrorism against Pakistan for sheltering and facilitating terrorists responsible for the carnage of 26/11 and other attacks in the UN. This staggering move not only jolted Pakistan but it is also firm acknowledgement of the terror menace Beijing has been facing in its territory of Xinjiang. Above all this reflects China’s convictions of partnering with India. Further Russia and China pushed for larger role of India in the UN, Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation and Shanghai Cooperation Organisation.

Aggressive Chinese expansionist tendencies are cause of major of concern to India. Modi during his visits to Tokyo and Washington elicited his fears about the same. But to realise the dream of Asian century, both nations should forge new bonds of friendship without overstepping on the contentious issues of the border disputes. While China is squeamish about the South China Sea and aggrieved by India’s interests in this region, New Delhi must make Beijing realise that more than half of its trade transits through it. To emerge as an economic power, India has to seek access to Chinese markets and welcome its investments too. In return, India too must have a calibrated approach towards the Silk Road Economic Belt Initiative of China to boost trade and connectivity ties. Till date India’s access of Chinese markets especially IT and pharmaceuticals have been limited. Indo-Chinese relations are impeded by serious mistrust. In spite of ancient cultural linkages between the nations, grave misunderstanding and misperceptions have dominated the relationships.

In the meanwhile Pakistan extended invitation to President Xi Jinping as the Chief Guest to preside over the parade for the Pakistan Day on March 23rd. The last joint military parade took place in 2008 during the tenure of President Pervez Musharraf. India must rejuvenate all its efforts to mitigate the trust deficit and should reiterate its interest in strengthening ties with Beijing. Being home of one third of humanity and sitting over a huge stock of reserves, India cann’t afford to undermine bilateral ties with China.

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