The phrase regularly summarising India-US relations has been, “overcoming hesitations of history”. The hesitations hint at the aspects of trust. PM Modi’s scheduled three-day visit to the US on September 21 was marred by ominous signals. Ahead of his visit, the US National Security Council Officials had a closed-door meeting with the Khalistani secessionists along with US Intelligence officers. The meeting initiated by the White House assured them of “protection from any transnational aggression on its soil”. Earlier, in the week, US Congressman Adam Schiff introduced the “Transnational Repression Reporting Act 2024” which particularly cited the targeting of the diaspora of India, Saudi Arabia, China and Iran on the rise.
Engaging
with the separatist group attempting to revive an insurgency movement to
dismember India mirrored the US’s blatant disregard for India’s sovereignty.
Throwing a spanner into the India-US engagement, around the same time,
the US District Court summoned NSA Ajit Doval, former R&AW Chief
Samant Goel, senior R&AW officer Vikram Yadav and Nikhil Gupta over the
alleged plot to kill Pannun. The US administration’s support to the separatist
elements and a designated terrorist, Pannun has unequivocally revealed the two
facets of its foreign policy- strategic engagement and containment.
Timing and
messaging are crucial. The influential unaccountable lobby in the US
administration has imposed last-minute roadblocks to derail the ties. These
overt provocations and the constant irritants in India-US relations
infused an element of equivocation and primed India for the limitations of the
strategic partnership.
The
two-pronged US policy always at work simultaneously is at the heart of the
contention. The incongruence in the messaging has inadvertently dwindled the
‘trust’ elements vital for bridging gaps. Consequentially, the India-US
relationship has at best been transactional despite cooperation and
collaboration spanning several sectors. This dichotomy in the US’s approach
makes the partnership more challenging for India despite the shared
interests and common value systems. Sometimes the provocations are difficult to
ignore lest the country be labelled a client state. Resisting the temptation to
succumb to these impulses, Prime Minister Modi has pulled off a rare diplomatic
success.
The
three-day long PM Modi’s first visit to the US in his third term is a testament
to his seasoned diplomacy. Amid, growing clatter over the delayed supply of GE
F-404 jet engines that power the Tejas jets which have pushed back their
delivery date, the constant nitpicking and undisguised political interference
of the US, PM Modi has managed to infuse new momentum in the ties.
Geopolitical
changes in the sub-continent especially the regime change episode in Bangladesh
and the revival of anti-India forces and their platforming haven’t escaped
people’s attention. Episodes of public censure, sanctions threats and constant
rebuke India had to endure for its independent stance on Ukraine, some
disagreements of late, have reconditioned into dissonance.
India has
learned to work through this dissonance given the cognitive assertion of a real
threat from China. In equal measure, the US no longer illusioned Beijing’s
dubious “peaceful rise” is slowly derisking businesses from China. Further,
India, the most attractive partner and balancer in the Indo-Pacific region is
the US’s best bet for China+1 strategy.
India is
deftly managing the divided political landscape of the US. At the helm of
affairs, PM Modi has actively strengthened ties with the US under both
dispensations- Democrat Presidents Barack Obama & Joe Biden and Republican
President Donald Trump. The scale of engagement hasn’t taken any hit. Even as
the extent of the US interventions in India’s internal affairs has become more
pronounced, India has adopted a pragmatic approach.
Not losing
sight of the economic and geopolitical imperatives, the Modi government has
expanded the arenas of cooperation. To make India future-ready and resilient to
the technological churn of the 21st Century, India is deepening
collaboration in the fields of artificial intelligence, quantum technology,
semiconductors, space, advanced telecommunications, clean energy, agriculture
and biotechnology.
A major leap
in this direction is the initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology (iCET)
launched in 2022 to elevate and expand strategic technological partnerships and
defence industrial cooperation. This has added a new dimension to the existing
defence cooperation of annual tri-services bilateral exercises. After the
recently concluded Memorandum of Agreement, the first Liaison Officer from
India was deployed to the US Special Operations Command (SOCOM).
In May 2024
India became part of the first-ever bilateral defence space table-top
exercise. Countries have recently concluded Security of Supply Arrangement
(SOSA) to enhance the mutual supply of defence goods and services.
Additionally, to pave the way for building a strong MRO (Maintenance,
Repair, Overhaul) ecosystem India has set a uniform GST of 5%.
Hailed as
the watershed agreement, countries have announced the first-ever
semiconductor partnership. Referred to as Shakti, the unit will be set up in
Jewar, UP. The fab unit supported by the India Semiconductor Mission and
technology partnership with Bharat Semi 3rdiTech and the US Space Force will
manufacture infrared, gallium nitride and silicon carbide semiconductors. The
unit will supply chips to the US armed forces, its allied militaries and
Indian defence forces. With the main focus on national security, the fab
can be a power enhancer in modern-day warfare in terms of advanced sensing,
communications, power electronics, next-generation telecommunications and green
energy transition challenges.
To build
a resilient, secure and sustainable semiconductor supply chain through
GlobalFoundaries (GF), the creation of GG Kolkata Power Centre in Kolkata is
exploring long-term cross-border chip manufacturing and technology
partnerships. Under the International
Technology Security and Innovation (ITSI) Fund created by the CHIPS Act of
2022, the US State Department is partnering with India Semiconductor Mission,
Ministry of Electronics and IT to explore opportunities to grow and diversify
the global semiconductor ecosystem.
Having
missed the early bird opportunity, besides strengthening collaboration with
Quad partners and the trilateral technology initiative of US-India-ROK, New
Delhi is becoming part of the collective efforts to build a secure
semiconductor supply chain to be at the ‘leading edge of innovation’. India is
relentlessly exploring new opportunities for collaboration in renewable energy,
small modular reactor technologies, advanced material R&D and AI innovation.
Through
bilateral dialogue mechanisms in Trade, Cybersecurity cooperation, Commercial
Dialogue (for securing resilient critical minerals supply chains) and Cancer
Dialogue India is strengthening collaboration. The first ever India-US Cancer
Dialogue launched the Bio5 Partnership between the US, India, ROK, Japan
and EU for close cooperation on pharmaceutical supply chains.
A
synergistic collaboration between India and the US especially in the STEM,
Space, basic and applied research ecosystems in tune with the latest
advancements is making rapid strides. Through the Triangular Trilateral
Development Partnership, India and the US are building renewable energy
projects and enhancing energy cooperation in Tanzania.
Countries
have unveiled a roadmap for the India-US Initiative to build safe and
secure global clean energy supply chains. US International Development Finance
Corporation (DFC) extended a $250 million loan to Tata Power Solar to
construct a solar cell manufacturing facility and a $500 million loan to First
Solar to construct and operate a Solar module manufacturing facility in
India.
The US has
also assured a $1 billion International Bank for Reconstruction and
Development (IBRD) funding guarantees for clean energy, high-quality jobs and
achieving global climate goals. This will boost the Strategic Clean Energy
Partnership (SCEP) between both countries.
Countries
have also exchanged instruments of ratification for Pillar 3 (Renewable Energy,
decarbonisation and green infrastructure) and Pillar 4 (fair economy including
tax and anti-corruption) of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF).
Through
continued engagement and deepening cooperation, PM Modi is aligning India’s
developmental needs with the US’s strategic partnership. Prioritising
national interests against all odds while advancing India’s image as a
responsible power capable of mediation, PM Modi’s US visit displayed a rare
diplomatic acumen.
With
developmental and strategic interests weighing high on the agenda, the
partnership is seemingly insulated from cognitive dissonance. As of now,
the overweighing geopolitical reality is heralding the Comprehensive and Global
Strategic Partnership. However, whenever the balance shifts, dissonance can
overwhelm the coherence and throw the relationship out of gear.
Geopolitical
uncertainties are altering power balances. The Unipolar world is now a
thing of the past. The World is gearing up for a multipolar reality.
With the US seeking to establish an alternate technological order, brimming
with immense potential for opportunities and growth, India can be a trusted
partner. But Uncle Sam must reign in on
the vested interests and veritable sceptics.
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