For the fourth time, China released a tranche of 30 new names for various geographical locations in Arunachal Pradesh. The ‘name game’ played by China to display its displeasure comes in the wake of Prime Minister Modi’s Arunachal visit for the inauguration of the Sela Tunnel. The tunnel, a ‘game changer’ caters to the all-weather access and enables seamless transport of goods and security personnel to the strategically vulnerable border region. Additionally, even the steady development of the border infrastructure backed by a fervent participatory push to bolster the adjoining regions of LAC through the Vibrant Village Programme is not lost on the Chinese.
Iconically,
bestowing the much-needed recognition to every inch of the hithertofore,
nondescript geography, India has changed the nomenclature of the border
villages from the existing “last village of India” to the “first village of
India”. Underscoring the importance of the security paradigm, India began
defining -Kibithoo, the last village of India in Arunachal as “India’s first
village”. Alongside, the Indian administration has ramped up efforts to alter
the socio-economic landscape of the border villages. Enhancing the accessibility
of the border villages via the Arunachal Frontier Highway (AFH) and 4G connectivity,
India is getting ready for the vexatious Chinese trick of shifting cartography.
In response
to China’s steady territorial incursions- Doklam, Galwan Valley and Yangtse,
matching in scale and robustness, India is strengthening infrastructural depth
along the Indo-Tibetan border. China’s latest cartographic intimidation is in
response to India’s competitive infrastructural developments as well as its
defence preparedness. Even as China downplayed India’s successful Multiple
Independently Targettable Reentry Vehicle (MIRV) testing, Beijing has dispatched
four vessels to the Indian Ocean Region to monitor the missile manoeuvring.
Indeed, Chinese vessels were again spotted near the Indian coast when India
announced a Notice to Air Missions (NOTAM) during the last week of March.
After the 1962
war, to usurp Tawang, deeming Arunachal Pradesh as South Tibet, China actively employed
conventional ‘salami slicing’ to threaten India's territorial integrity.
Concomitantly, China started issuing stapled visas to Arunachal Pradesh
residents, threatening India with consequences in the wake of Dalai Lama’s
visit to the state and denying visas to Arunachal’s Wushu players for Hangzhou
Asian Games. Alongside the intimidatory tactics, given the palpable progress in
erasing the identity of Tibet with its Chinese nomenclature of Xizang, Beijing
is applying the sinicisation template to Arunachal Pradesh. Referring to
Arunachal Pradesh as “Zangnan”, Beijing started episodically releasing Chinese names
for the Indian state.
India vehemently
denounced the Chinese ‘senseless’ act and strongly responded by saying, “Assigning
invented names will not alter the reality that Arunachal Pradesh, is, has been
and will always be an integral and inalienable part of India”. Calling out
Chinese sinister attempts, India reasoned, “repeating baseless arguments
won’t validate claims”. Indeed, even the Biden administration “strongly
opposed” Chinese unilateral attempts to advance territorial ambitions.
With China
refusing to relinquish sinicisation pursuits of Arunachal Pradesh, India too is
hitting back with swift and definitive responses. EAM Jaishankar hit back
saying, “If today I change the name of your house, will it become mine?”
and Defence Minister Rajnath Singh doubled down on Beijing at an election rally
in Arunachal Pradesh. Giving Beijing back in the same coin, he lashed out, “I
want to ask China if we change the names of various states of the neighbouring
country, will those be parts of our territory?”1.
China’s
needling of India is not restricted to Arunachal Pradesh alone though the
intent has become more conspicuous with the fresh tranche of ‘invented names’.
In its unremitting attempts to penetrate India’s neighbourhood, Beijing has
upgraded ties to a “Comprehensive Strategic Cooperative Partnership”
after masterminding the “India Out” Campaign in the Indian Ocean
archipelago. The campaign which has catapulted an anti-India coalition to power
has strained the relations leading to the complete withdrawal of Indian
personnel engaged in emergency, rescue, and relief operations as well.
Soon Beijing
signed a defence cooperation agreement that is supposed to enable the Maldives
to “stand on their own feet” and have “autonomy and independence”,
including the acquisition of non-lethal weaponry like tear gas, pepper spray
and similar items. Indeed, Maldivian President Muizzu has signed 20 key
agreements on his China visit. Days after the visit, Maldives terminated the Hydrographic
survey agreement with India and allowed a Chinese research vessel to dock in
Male raising concerns about potential mapping of the Indian Ocean seabed.
Latest
reports now indicate that the Maldives Industrial Development Free Zone (MIDF)
signed a MoU with China’s Harbour Engineering (CHE) to establish an Agriculture
Economic Zone in Uthuru Thila Falhu the northern side atoll closest to India.
CHE known for land reclamation has been sanctioned by the US for its activities
in the South China Sea and close links with the Chinese military. CHE was
blacklisted by Bangladesh as well in 2018. More number of Chinese research
vessels have been spotted in the Indian Ocean Region since Muizzu assumed
charge raising potential security concerns.
Acceding to
India’s request of impending security concerns, Sri Lanka imposed a year-long
ban on the docking of Chinese research vessels in January. But this elicited
harsh reprisal from Beijing. Subsequently, Sri Lanka announced that it would
allow foreign offshore ships for replenishments. During Sri Lankan Prime
Minister Dinesh Gunawardena’s recent visit to China, Beijing pledged to play a
positive role in achieving debt sustainability, advancing and accelerating BRI.
India is now
closely watching Nepal after the pro-China government assumed power. To retain
his position, Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal has joined hands with K.P.
Sharma Oli known for his pro-China proclivities. Indo-Nepalese ties have gone
south under Oli’s watch. The current communist-dominated coalition might veer
Nepal towards China. Reconciling the popular perception, the newly appointed
Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of the new coalition made his first
visit to China to revive the implementation plans of the BRI signed in 2017 and
the development of the Nepal-Tibet-Chongquing-Sichuan development corridor. China
has recently extended an invitation to Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina
for a state visit. By making inroads into the Indian neighbourhood, China
intends to unsettle New Delhi. Above all, the cornerstone of the Sino-Pakistan
‘all-weather friendship’ is rooted in anti-India foreign policy.
Since 2014
India has been giving a befitting reply to Chinese territorial and diplomatic
excesses. To counter Chinese forays into its immediate neighbourhood, India
unveiled “Neighbourhood First” and “Security and Growth for
All in the Region (SAGAR)” to build sustainable developmental partnerships
and shoring up its influence. China’s foreign policy is replete with
intimidation, coercion and subterfuge to advance its global ambitions and
territorial interests. Beijing has been expertly deploying these weapons to
bully neighbours and have its way.
China’s
strategy is aptly reflected in Beijing’s harassment, stalling and attacking of
the Philippine vessels in the South China Sea; the multitudinous air defence
exercises and incursions along the Taiwan Straits; contiguous entry into the
disputed waters of the Sea of Japan, and settling of hundreds of Tibetans inside
Sino-Bhutan northern border. All these punitive aggressions against different
countries have one thing in common. Forcing nations to succumb to its unfounded
and subjective claims. The Chinese intimidatory tactics under President Xi have
consumed the peace and stability of the region.
Under the
garb of defence exercises along the Tibetan mountainous terrain, China made
territorial incursions along the LAC in 2020. After fumbling initially, India
has repulsed these sinister plans of China and refused to yield even as the
standoff is about to enter its fifth year. The 29 rounds of Working Mechanism
for Consultation and Coordination (WMCC) meetings held by countries thus far,
failed to break the impasse. But India is in no mood to relent. Exercising
strategic patience, India is now frustrating China by holding its ground.
India is now
defeating China in its game of conflict intensification and reaping benefits
out of it. Besides making the border space strong, resilient and effective,
India is handing out solid diplomatic rebuttals and calling out the bluff of
the Chinese propaganda and touted doctrines which are contradictory to its brinkmanship.
Simultaneously, the rising India is constantly striving towards building a
robust deterrence. New Delhi is no longer carried away by the Chinese double-speak
that the Chinese embassy parroted about - “properly handling differences,
promoting healthy and stable bilateral relations” on the eve of the 74th
anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic ties between countries on April
1st even as Defence Ministry reiterated the fictitious-“Zangnan-an
inherent part of Chinese territory”.
With
elections around the corner in India, China is playing blow-hot, blow-cold and
reviving the border issue to provide a long handle to the opposition. Chinese
reputation of electoral interference is now an established fact. The Canadian
spy agency, Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS), in its briefing
stated, “We know that the PRC (People’s Republic of China) clandestinely and
deceptively interfered in both 2019 and 2021 elections”2.
Software giant, Microsoft issued a warning regarding China’s potential use of
Artificial Intelligence (AI) to disrupt elections in high-profile elections in
India, South Korea and the US3.
Unlike in
the past, India is no longer complacent. New Delhi completely understands
Chinese strategies. In the face of China’s unabashed geopolitical posturing,
New Delhi knows what to expect. With strategic competition heating up in this
part of the world, Army Chief Manoj Pande has called upon the forces to be
always prepared for ‘black swan events’ and to ‘expect the
unexpected’4.
China must stop
using its idea of superiority (Tian Chao-roughly meaning Celestial Empire) and
shed its warped 1962 perception of India. India is now a vibrant power. Beijing
must treat India as an equal. Else India would respond in a manner that China
understands the best.
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