Sunday 11 February 2018

India’s attempts to bolster maritime aspirations

Of late references to India as steward of the Indo-Pacific region have become more prominent. While it is little challenging to appropriately make out geographical mental map of the region, strategically Indo-Pacific region refers to maritime space encompassing littorals of East Africa, West Asia, Indian Ocean, Western Pacific Ocean and East Asia. For the first time, Indo-Pacific term was used by Gurpreet Khurana in his article titled “Security of Sea Lines: Prospects for India-Japan cooperation”. The term assumed significant diplomatic relevance when Shinzo Abe used the term during his address to Indian Parliament in 2007 in the context of “Confluence of Indian and Pacific Ocean”. Slowly this term was internalized by highest authorities of India and by 2011 it was extensively used by India, Japan, US and Australia and was first officially documented in Australia’s Defence White Paper in 2013.
China for all practical purposes always used the term Asia-Pacific as Indo necessarily meant India. In the joint statement signed between India and US in 2017, the term made a resurgent comeback with both countries agreeing to forge close partnership as stewards of Indo-Pacific Ocean. Ever since Indo-Pacific was used in lieu of Asia-Pacific extensively. Days before revival of “the Quad” Rex Tillerson, US secretary of state religiously referred to the region as Indo-Pacific underscoring the importance of coming together of India, US, Japan, Australia to counter rising China. Needless to say, extensive use of Indo-Pacific region necessarily reiterates the importance of India in this maritime stretch. In fact, navies of British India used to operate and protect the seas stretching from Gulf of Aden to Malacca Straits and commanded immense respect as net security provider of the region. Though British left after India’s independence, the Royal Naval continued to operate in the Indian Ocean to secure Sea Lines of Communication and trade until their eventual withdrawal from the East of Suez in 1968. Post-independence, preoccupied in guarding western and northern borders India gradually squandered its commandeering position in the vast maritime stretches. India’s strategic geographical position always presented it with an excellent opportunity to develop a Blue Water Navy. But enthralled by the prospect of championing values and idealism, oblivious of real politics India undermined the importance of power projection along the busiest shipping routes of Indian Ocean region (IOR) which is its backyard. While countries like France and Russia, realizing the growing salience of India Ocean acquired bases, India remained complacent.
On the other hand, to ensure an uninterrupted flow of energy supplies through various chokepoints, a growing China began stealthily increasing its presence in the IOR. It unveiled the concept of String of Pearls along the sea lines of communication from Chinese mainland to Port of Sudan. Later under the ruse of coordinating and assisting the anti-piracy operations Chinese flotilla along with a submarine began to frequent Indian Ocean. China began to penetrate India’s sphere of influence. Having established firm control over critical sea lines of communication in South China Sea, Beijing steadily adopted similar strategy to position itself in the Indian Ocean.  While strategists hinted about China’s ambitious maritime expansions, India turned a deaf ear. Beijing steady acquisition of bases in the strategic IOR served as a much-needed wakeup call for India.
Negating India’s dominance in IOR, Beijing having acquired Hambantota port of Sri Lanka under debt-equity swap in Indian Ocean officially on a lease for 99-years is now all set to establish logistics base in the Arabian Sea in Southern Maldives Laamu Atoll. Earlier, China eased its way into Arabian Sea through CPEC by obtaining Gwadar port on lease for over four decades from Pakistan. Reports suggest China is building second overseas military base in Pakistan at Jiwani, a port close to Iranian border on Gulf of Oman (Makran Coast). Last year, China officially opened its first overseas military base in Djibouti. Over years, Dragon developed a formidable string of pearls that facilitated unobstructed flow of energy supplies and strategic maritime presence in IOR. Besides China continued to buttress its presence along the supply lines by building a railway line from Khartoum, capital of Sudan to Port of Sudan and Bagamoya port in Tanzania. A Chinese company now controls container terminal in Colombo.
India torn between idealism and real politick remained a reluctant player for long. Erosion of Indian dominance in its backyard generated a new sense of urgency in New Delhi to acquire bases and facilities. Giving a direction to India’s maritime aspirations, Prime Minister Modi on his visit to Indian Ocean states Mauritius and Seychelles in 2015 assured them of India’s commitment of being security provider in the region. He also indicated India’s interest in developing military facilities at Aga Lega in Mauritius and Assumption Island in Seychelles.
In a shot in arm to Indian aspirations, on January 31st India signed an agreement with Seychelles to develop, build, manage and maintain facilities on Assumption Island. The island is leased to India for operating a naval base and an air strip. Similarly, India is all set to refurbish crucial infrastructure facilities at Aga Lega in Mauritius. Both bases lying along the periphery of Africa can be highly useful in monitoring shipping routes. Reports now indicate that India is likely to sign an agreement with Oman for setting up a military base during Prime Minister’s tri-nation state visit to Palestine, Oman and UAE. India is seriously mulling the plausibility of having a base along the busiest shipping route in the strategically important Persian Gulf.  India is gearing up to ink a defence logistics agreement with France, like the LEMOA with US. With this, India can access French Military bases in the Indian Ocean and Horn of Africa like the Reunion Island near Madagascar and Djibouti. The pact is expected to be signed during France President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to India. The LEMOA with US entitled India to access the strategic Guam port at the edge of Pacific Ocean and Diego Garcia in Indian Ocean. India has recently signed logistics agreement with Singapore whereby India can dock its ships for much longer time in Singapore, use facilities and carry out maritime surveillance in South China Sea. Reports indicate that Australia evinced interest in pursuing LEMOA kind of agreement with India which can considerably increase Indian presence in the vast maritime expanses. While Indian efforts pale in comparison to China, which has leased several ports along major trading route, an effort to increase the interoperability of Indian Navies by collaborating with foreign Navies might put India in a good stead. These agreements on long term will play a significant role in building a reliable security architecture.
Languishing in the self-inflicted trap of imbued idealism, India lost precious time. Modi regime is making good attempts to catch up with China whose mountains of finances and economic muscle power ensured it an uninterrupted maritime power-projection run. Indian efforts to operationalize Chabahar have been a good move in this direction. But unlike China which has absolute control over various military bases, India as of now made agreements with respective countries to avail logistics facilities. It is a long road ahead and Indian efforts to bolster its maritime aspirations are commendable.
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