Wednesday 3 December 2014

Taiwan Elections crashed Dragon’s Scheme of Greater China


The upsurge foreign policy of Xi Jinping has fallen short of real politic with pro-China lobby suffering the worst defeat in the local elections of Taiwan. Ever since the successful organisation of the APEC summit, flagrant attention at the G-20, bilateral visit to Fiji and sealing of the historical climate change pact with the US, China has been upbeat. It was trying to consolidate its position as a major power house in the World both in the terms of financial strength and muscle power.

The ruling party of Taiwan, Kuomintang (KMT) was drubbed in the local elections by the opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). With presidential elections due for 2016, China is majorly worried about the prospects of the opposition clinching power. Current President Ma Ying-jeou, a pioneer of the “Sunshine policy” vociferously advocated that Taiwan can scale peaks of economic prosperity by intertwining with the main land China. But his contentious advocacy suffered a major glitch by the protests of the “Sun Flower Student Movement” who vehemently opposed all the attempts engineered by the KMT to merge Taiwan with the mainland economy. Ma, had been propounding that the enormous gains of the Chinese economy might trickle down to Taiwan if it merges with the economic giant.

KMT’s rout in local election is partially due to the poor handling of economic affairs by Ma. Taiwanese were desperate and wanted viable solutions. Middle class are agonised by shrinking salaries and sky rocketing of housing prices. In sharp contrast the compradors and Taiwanese business elite, who were wooed by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), hugely gained from their close business associations with China. Surfacing of several food scandals has been the reason for major discontent. Ma assumed office in 2008 was friendly with China and seriously contemplated the plans of setting up representative offices in each other’s territories to facilitate greater liberalisation across the Taiwanese straits.  But investigative journalists have unearthed the shadowy work of the “United Front Work Department” which has been grooming the Taiwan businessmen to create the environment for reunification of Taiwan with China. Even the intelligence wing of CCP is placating academicians, authors, war veterans, students of Taiwan in a bid to soften their opposition towards the CCP and mobilise the re absorption of Taiwan into China. Despite the untiring ground work of China, people in Taiwan are stiffened by the fact that their dreams of a just society and democratic process will be stifled by the authoritarian regime of the China. Further as China is making desperate attempts to increase its clout in Asia, nations are becoming warier of its undemocratic shadow.

Moreover the pro-democratic protests of the Umbrella revolution in Hong Kong and the failed Chinese promise of “One Country two systems” had made people of Taiwan more suspicious of Dragon’s motives. China’s fervent denial of democracy to Hong Kong and its tightening grip over the autonomous special administrative region exposed the dubious intentions of China. Currently, mainland China is stymied by growing economic disparities and disenchantments with vast accumulation of wealth by the vested interests.  With fading economic equality and authoritarian polity in store, voters of Taiwan are unwilling to stake their freedom. The restive regions of Tibet and Xinjiang provinces are illustrative of the undemocratic highhandedness of China.

Even as three month old protests in Hong Kong show no signs of resignation, Beijing has to seriously contemplate its intransigence to pro-democracy as eventually pro-democracy calls can reignite such protests back home. Xi has continued to push the policy of one country, two systems towards Taiwan despite the strong opposition from island’s 23 million people. Similar negotiations with Hong Kong after its return in 1997 had resulted in some autonomy with separate economic and judicial system but Beijing imposed its ultimate authority. Xi’s unwavering stand towards Hong Kong and his insistence of vetting of candidates and approving their candidature before inaugural elections, 2017 in Hong Kong speaks volumes of the double standards of China.

While Xi is relentlessly working to portray China as a strong and confident nation, intent on integration with international community, with no compromise on its territorial claims he is having harder time convincing people of Hong Kong and Taiwan who are threatened of China’s rise. Taiwan, a former Japanese colony split from China during the civil war of 1949 was considered as renegade province. China signed 21 trade transit and investment agreements with Taiwan since 2008 but protestors in March occupied Taipei to stop the ratification of trade liberalisation treaty with China. The business men and elite in both the countries are favouring closer ties with China for greater economic gains. But the young people are more threatened by the main land. There are fears that civil rights, free press and independent political organisations will be eroded.

Though Chinese media plunged into action to perform damage control by attributing the election thrashing of the KMT to its inability to connect with aspiration of young Taiwan people, victory for the DDP signalled the spiralling effect of anti-mainland protests. As the slogans of “today Hong Kong tomorrow Taiwan” resonated with Taiwan voters, China’s desideratum of triumphantly walking down the Taiwan straits is watered.
 
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