Sustaining
the momentum generated by a series of high-level visits to Egypt, PM Modi while
returning to India from the US made a two-day stopover in Egypt. The last visit
by an Indian Prime Minister to Egypt was in 1997. India has significantly
ratcheted up its relations with the Arab countries and the decision of inviting
Egypt, UAE and Oman to G20 meetings as India’s guests is a part of this
exercise.
Giving a
significant boost to India’s Link West Policy, the Modi administration has
characteristically accelerated both outreach and engagement with the Middle
East Arabian countries. Infusing new enthusiasm in resurrecting the neglected ties,
India invited President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi as the Chief Guest for the 2023
Republic Day celebrations. This invitation is the Indian way of honouring
special friends. During Sisi’s visit, countries have agreed to elevate the ties
to strategic partnership driving the ties towards a multifaceted relationship.
PM Modi’s
reciprocal visit to Egypt within six months of President Sisi’s State visit
demonstrates New Delhi’s commitment to energise the relationship and expand
economic engagement. In a significant show of friendship, the Egyptian Prime
Minister Moustafa Madbouly who was heading the ‘Indian Unit’ received Modi at
the airport where he was accorded guard of honour. Indian Unit comprising senior officials and seven
cabinet ministers was set up following President Sisi’s State visit to India.
PM Modi
welcomed the ‘Whole of the Government Approach’ of Egypt in taking forward the
bilateral ties with India. After a brief interaction with the Indian Unit, PM
Modi held wide-ranging talks with President Sisi and later both leaders signed
the Strategic Partnership Agreement. Discussions on strengthening cooperation
in trade and investment, renewable energy, pharmaceuticals, counterterrorism
cooperation, food and energy security, G20 cooperation dominated the agenda. Both
countries have signed three MoUs on agriculture, archaeology and competition
law.
Egypt, the
most populous Arab country is the gateway to Africa and Europe with immense
potential for domestic industries, particularly in the agriculture sector,
steel items and light vehicles. Besides its special Arab and African identity,
its strategic geographic location with the Red Sea, Mediterranean Sea, Horn of
Africa and Suez Canal lends it a crucial maritime significance, especially in
terms of commerce and connectivity.
The volume
of Indo-Egyptian bilateral trade is currently $7 billion dollars which kept
increasing despite the covid. The leaders have set a target of $12 billion in the
next five years1. Indian FDI is around $4 billion and in the
past six months, Indian companies made an additional investment of $170 million.
Egypt is keen on having an increased Indian presence in the Suez Canal Economic
Zone (SCEZ). Given SCEZ’s easy access to markets in Africa, Europe and Gulf,
Indian companies are pushing for a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with Egypt. This
can also boost India’s export-oriented, “Made by India for the World”
programme.
India and
Egypt shared the common goal of independence and post-Egypt’s independence in
1953, both countries signed the Friendship agreement in 1955. India extended
support to Egypt during the Suez Canal crisis in 1956. Subsequently, as
founding members of the Non-Alignment Movement, both countries had cordial
relations. Both countries were instrumental in creating the G-77 grouping of
non-aligned members to promote the collective economic interests of developing
countries during the cold war and initiated “South-South Cooperation”. Over
subsequent decades marred by political upheavals the bilateral ties suffered
neglect.
Expressing
confidence in India’s G20 summit, Egypt urged New Delhi to prioritise the
interests of developing countries and raise their issues at the international
platforms. India, the leading voice of the Global South reaffirmed working
towards addressing the global food and fuel shortages instead of allowing the
G20 summit to be mired by the Ukraine issue.
Being the
largest importer of Wheat, Egypt’s food security took a hit during the Ukraine
crisis following the blockade of exports from Russia and Ukraine. India rose to
the occasion and supplied wheat to Egypt. Also, India’s shipment of drugs and
medical supplies to 13 African countries including Egypt during the Covid has
earned the goodwill of Cairo. This outreach reignited friendship between the two
countries.
The back-to-back
high-profile visits of the defence minister to sign an MoU on enhancing
bilateral defence cooperation in September 2022 and EAM Jaishankar’s extending
invitation to Egypt as ‘Guest Country” to the G20 Summit in October 2022 had
set the platform for the revival of ties. Talks of defence cooperation with
Egypt have been on an upswing with India offering to replace Egypt’s ageing
Chinese trainers with LCA Tejas Trainer aircraft. Though the deal couldn’t go
through with South Korea offering to locally manufacture TA-50 jets, India has
offered Akash Defence System and Pinaka Rocket system to Egypt seeking to
diversify its weapon systems.
Egypt which
has the largest standing army in the Arab League wants to reduce its dependency
on Russia for weapons. It is looking for collaborations with countries possessing
expertise in developing substitutes for Russian weapon systems and evaluating
options from China and India. India is exploring the opportunity for
technological collaboration and transfer of technology2. To boost cooperation between the defence forces,
India and Egypt held joint air exercises -Desert Warrior in October 2021 and the
maiden joint military training exercise-Exercise Cyclone in the deserts of
Rajasthan in January 2023.
Another
major aspect where India and Egypt are on the same page is counterterrorism.
Arab Spring of 2010 which brought about a rapid transformation in the region
witnessed Egypt’s shift towards electoral democracy. However, in the first
election of the Arab country in 2012, the Muslim Brotherhood leader Mohammed
Morsi emerged victorious. But was unceremoniously ousted in a military coup in
2013. Muslim Brotherhood, the brainchild of a school teacher Hassan Al-Banna in
1928 advocated the most extremist form of political Islam. While Qatar, Kuwait,
Iran and Turkey had a cosy relationship with this pan-Islamic network, Saudi
Arabia and UAE banned Muslim Brotherhood. Egypt too banned it and designated
its affiliates as terrorist groups after Sisi came to power. He even revived
ties with Saudi Arabia and UAE.
Laying out
Egypt Vision 2030, Sisi unveiled National Human Rights Strategy designed to
promote social, economic, political and cultural rights. In a discussion along
the sidelines of a session on “Human Rights: Present and Future”, Sisi said, “Groups
like the Brotherhood gnawed at the state and created a culture of doubt and
mistrust, and he warned against allowing countries to be destroyed from within,
creating millions and refugees and generation of extremists, and releasing
untold damage on the wider region for decades”. Egypt is consciously moving
towards moderation without sacrificing its traditional roots and past
civilizational culture.
Egypt is the
seat of Islamic learning and its famed Al-Azhar University which churns out
Muslim scholars and Ulemas is now working towards countering the radical
Islamist ideology. The University has other faculties like Commerce, Science,
Engineering and Humanities. India established a Centre of Excellence in IT at
this University in 20165. The Grand Mufti is elected by the
faculty of Islamic scholars of Al Azhar University.
On his Egypt
visit, PM Modi met the Grand Mufti Sheikh Shawki Ibrahim Allam and discussed social
harmony, countering extremism and radicalisation. Grand Mufti who was in India
last month at the invitation of the Indian Council for Cultural Relations and
in an article ahead of his visit he highlighted the “need for cooperation
and bridge-building in a challenging world”6. PM Modi
also visited the 10thcentury Al-Hakim Mosque of the Fatimid Era
reconstructed by Dawoodi Bohra Muslims. The Indian Dawoodi Bohra Muslim
community traces their heritage to this mosque. Bohras have been steadfast
supporters of Modi since his days as chief minister. Modi also interacted with
the Indian Diaspora living in Egypt.
Ironically
amid the ambient cacophonous discourse on PM Modi as fascist and intolerant
towards minorities, President Sisi has honoured him with the highest civilian
award of “Order of the Nile”. Modi is the first Indian to receive this honour.
The fallacious anti-India and anti-Modi narratives seem facetious with PM Modi
receiving 13 highest civilian awards in the nine of his tenure as the Prime
Minister of India.
Modi’s
reciprocal visit to Egypt has come at a time when Cairo is diversifying its
partnership and lobbying for membership in BRICS. Notwithstanding the economic
crisis in Egypt, India is exploring opportunities for potential bilateral
economic cooperation through a liberalised trade regime. Countries are in talks
to trade through a barter system and India is mulling permitting Egypt to make
rupee payments as a possible means of debt. India is also planning to diversify
its fertiliser imports and gas from Egypt. Egypt is interested in Indian
investments while India seeking to have greater access to the MENA (Middle East
and North Africa) region through Cairo.
Egypt’s decision to stay away from attending the meeting of the G20 Working Group of Tourism held in Srinagar has generated an awkward discordance. The lingering contentious posturing of Cairo seeded a scepticism too. Apparently, an idealistic expectation of perfect agreement between countries on all issues is nearly impossible. In this era of reorientation of the world era, countries are forging partnerships based on alignment of interests and hedging against big power competition. The double whammy of covid and the Ukraine crisis has pushed countries to reorient their foreign policies and foster ties beneficial for people at large. In his short visit, PM Modi revived the bilateral ties and bestowed directionality to them for the long haul.
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