Even as the world is struggling to come to terms with the throes of the Ukraine conflict which continues unabated, another front that has opened up in the Middle East has compounded the uncertainty and global instability. While the Israel-Palestine dispute spanning for decades has many shades of grey, Hamas terror attacks against Israel is a straightforward case of “pure unadulterated evil” that has been unleashed on the world. Terrorism can have no justification in a civilised world.
By
butchering close to 1300 people (including citizens of 42 countries) and 4000 being
injured within the first 48 hours, Hamas has underscored its policy of genocide
and elimination of Israel. Only Jews are targeted. They were slaughtered for
what they were. Worse so, they
even brazenly flaunted their immorality without disdain. In response to the
mind-numbing savagery, Israel asserting its right to self-defense announced to
go after Hamas in full force which included a ground attack on Gaza. Designated
as a terrorist organisation, Hamas voted as the defacto ruler by Gazans in
elections unrecognised by the Western government, cynically hides assets in
civilian areas like hospitals, schools, ambulances and UN shelters.
In a classic
case of a terrorist outfit acquiring a state to control, Hamas began operating
from among the most densely populated regions in the world. Unveiling a new
protocol for asymmetric warfare, Hamas has started using civilians as human
shields. Shooting rockets from the shoulders of the civilians, for over a
decade and a half, Hamas escaped Israel’s wrath. Hiding behind the civilian
frontline, Hamas has forced Tel Aviv into a ceasefire on several instances.
Indeed,
Israeli airstrikes targeted at Hamas headquartered in civilian spaces are now
decried by countries accusing it of committing “war crimes”. Amid
protests and clashes between pro-Israel and pro-Palestine camps across
different places in the world, putting things into context, the PMO of Israel
has issued a clarification.
Notably,
this comes in the wake of Hamas chief Ismail Haniyeh’s letter to UN chief
Antonio Guterres accusing Israel of committing war crimes, “barbaric siege”,
including banning the entry of humanitarian aid and medical supplies. Stating,
“Israel is at war with Hamas and not with the people of Palestine”, the PMO
spokesperson also informed about the recovery of Hamas kidnapper's guide and
the “gruesome methods” to be employed for the torture and abduction of
civilians.
Though the
world has been a little circumspect in calling out Hamas for the pogrom, the spokesperson
of Hamas, Abu Obaida in a pre-recorded message called attacks a “jihad”
whose goal is “either to win or get martyred”. These surprise attacks
were borne out of two-year careful planning with far-fetching objectives involving
the training of a large commando force to carry out the operations. To take on
Fatah, Israel has propped up Hamas and even increased work permits for Gazans
anticipating a reconciliation. But this strategy backfired badly as the Gazans
who worked in Israel doubled up as overground workers of Hamas in providing
crucial inputs about the geography and intricate details of infiltrated Israeli
villages and towns.
Simultaneously,
Hamas has changed its tack. Delegating the task of managing the resistance
front to the smaller Palestine Islamic Jihad (PIJ) Hamas intensively studied
the tactics and strategies of Israel. By lying low, Hamas conned Israel into
complacency which is evident in the grave intelligence failure of Israeli agencies
in anticipating spontaneous or a short-term attack. This humiliation of being
caught unaware of such a massive attack notwithstanding its superior
intelligence services and well-oiled defence machinery would weigh heavily on
IDF (Israel Defence Forces).
Hamas
attacks, an outcome of long-term planning had given them the advantage of
strategically analysing the nature and intensity of retaliatory of Israel well
in advance. IDF, on the other hand, has to face the enormous challenge of
having to dismantle the deeply entrenched network of underground tunnels from
which Hamas operates.
The problem
is twofold- unlike the conventional war of taking the enemy on the frontlines,
IDF has to deal with the fallouts of the significant collateral damage and an
enemy with superior urban warfare capabilities. Tracking down the enemy in its
own territory among the dark tunnels whose location can’t be detected by GPS is
fraught with a lot of risks. IDF must be prepared for surprise attacks, bobby
traps and direct combat in an unknown location where advanced technology would
be rendered defunct. The honeycomb of tunnels is an operating ground for Hamas
and until and unless they are destroyed, ceaseless rounds of rocket attacks on
Israel will continue to recur.
To paralyse
the urban warfare of Hamas, the IDF must be ready for a long haul which
includes air strikes and ground attacks. Hamas strategic assets are securely
sheltered in underground tunnels and bunkers. Israel’s move to wipe out Hamas
will be incomplete without methodical demolition of the subterranean tunnel
infrastructure- the veritable parallel world of Hamas. Any attempt to seal, demolish
or flood the tunnel will leave a massive trail of destruction in the civilian
areas.
Also, with a
full-fledged attack on Gaza, Israel is going to get dragged into a quagmire similar
to its close to two-decades long Lebanon campaign. Hamas has challenged Israel
and shaken its invincibility. Now Israel is left with no other choice than to
bite the bullet. Wiping out the terror network is now a priority to have a
semblance of peace.
Since the
Hamas terror attacks, Israel has intensified air raids to neutralise Hamas
leadership. The collateral damage inflicted on the civilians during these
attacks is now eliciting huge backlash from several countries and international
agencies. Hamas attacks have been laced with geopolitical considerations. This
is now coming to the fore with countries rallying to build pressure on Israel
by drawing a reprehensible moral equivalence between Hamas terror attacks and
retaliatory counter-air strikes. Russia moved a resolution at the UNSC backed
by Gabon, China, UAE and Mozambique calling for a humanitarian ceasefire in
Gaza. Iran is mobilising the OIC (Organisation of Islamic Cooperation) to
impose oil embargo on Israel.
Israel’s
aerial strikes in Gaza are now subject to different interpretations with
agencies invoking International Humanitarian Law which in contemporary times is
governed by the United Nations Charter. The Israel-Hamas conflict is not a war
between two sovereign states. Hence, the ‘Prisoners of War’ or ‘war crimes’ concept
is not applicable. The ongoing conflict is a “non-international armed
conflict”, categorised as a civil war between the armed forces of a state
taking an armed non-state actor. The warring sides are expected to adhere to
Article 3 of the Geneva Convention which prohibits practices like torture,
summary execution and denial of fair trial.
Whatever be
nature of the conflict, the safety of civilians is of utmost priority and the UN
Charter reinforces that, “the party in control of the civilian population
must not place them at heightened risk of harm by using them as human shields
and the attacking force must take precautions to avoid or minimise excessive
civilian causalities when attacking lawful targets”1.
Israel which is evacuating its citizens to safety from the Gazan border regions
and North to protect them from Hezbollah strikes has closed the borders. To
contain the collateral damage before launching ground attacks, Israel ordered
the evacuation of civilians in North Gaza. But Hamas has erected blocks on
roads stopping the movement of vehicular traffic to the South.
After the
outbreak of the Ukrainian War, the neighbouring countries opened the border to
accommodate displaced Ukrainians. Egypt on the contrary, concretised the lone border
crossing to Gaza at Rafah and refused to offer shelter to the displaced
Palestinians. Jordan has outrightly rejected any Palestinian refugees.
Israel
announced a complete siege over Gaza along with retaliatory strikes. But offered
to restore power, water, and food supplies to the Gaza Strip in exchange for
the release of hostages. But rather (un)surprisingly, advocates of the peace
process and Muslim countries, the UN has so far been determinedly reluctant to
prevail on Hamas for the release of hostages.
Ten days
into the airstrikes, Israel climbed down on its position and agreed to evolve a
plan with the US to allow necessary aid to Gazans to prevent a humanitarian
crisis. On the contrary, compounding civilian misery, UNRWA (United Nations
Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees) indicated that Hamas had stolen
fuel and medicine meant for refugees. Hamas has weaponised civilians for its
“jihad” against Israel. It has been used the death, devastation and human agony
for a coloured global perception.
Besides,
the indifference of the Islamic countries towards the plight of Muslim
Palestinians is rather intriguing. The facetious and insincere high moral
ground of the Muslim countries towards Palestine is rife with double speak and
hypocrisy. None of the Arab countries are committed to the Palestine statehood.
For decades, they have used Palestine for geopolitical games. This chicanery
has become more equivocal with Hamas attacks.
Finally,
geopolitically, the Middle East which is going through episodes of
normalisation and reconciliation will witness a drastic realignment. The
transformation and journey of the region from being a powder keg to a development-driven
agenda will take a hit. Israel’s normalisation of diplomatic ties with Saudi Arabia
will be kept on hold for an indefinite period. The proposed take-off of
India-Middle East- Europe will be halted.
The
fledgling axis of China-Iran-Russia might receive a new lease on life and
anti-western sentiment will be out in the open with full vengeance. Hostility
will return to Israel’s neighbourhood. Iran will unabashedly unleash its handmaidens-Hamas
and Hezbollah to strike at Israel with vehemence. With an estimated 130,000
missiles, Hezbollah has the largest stockpile of missiles in the world.
The air
strike on Al-Alhi hospital that killed over 500 civilians, allegedly caused by
rocket misfire ahead of President Biden’s visit to Israel evaporated the last
hope of a diplomatic effort to contain the conflict after Jordan pulled out
from the summit talks between the US, Egypt, Palestine Authority and Jordan to
be held at Amman. “Hospital massacre” has flared up tensions in the region and
protesting Jordanians attempted to torch the Israeli embassy. With Iran
dispatching militia to Lebanon through Syria, the frontal attacks on Israel are
bound to intensify, widening it further.
The root
cause for the current attack isn’t the perceived Israeli denial of statehood
for Palestine. Though it is incidental, the primary motivation is the doctrine
of rejection of Israel’s right to exist. The brutality of Hamas has
extinguished all chances of a peace negotiation. Given a foreboding existential
threat, Israel is left with no other option than asserting its right to
self-defence.
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