Friday 3 July 2015

Reading between the lines: Why China vetoed India’s move on Lakhvi in the UN?


It is no surprise that China has vetoed India’s resolution in UN for re-arrest of Zakiur Rahman Lakhvi, the mastermind of the 26/11 incident which claimed more than 160 lives. The victims include nationals from plethora of countries besides India. Lakhvi was released in April on bail in violation of the UN resolution (1267) of terrorist organisations and groups. India’s move for re-arrest of Lakhvi was backed by all the four permanent members except China. China blocked the Indian resolution on the pretext of failing to provide enough information. With this China has yet again blocked India’s attempts to stall Pakistan’s state sponsored terrorism across the borders. Over a period of its seven decade stint in the UN China has exercised its veto power only 10 times, the lowest for any permanent member. Its proactive stand in halting Indian proposal thus has a greater significance and forewarns of an impending strategic manoeuvre.

China the all weather friend of Pakistan has performed a customised choreographed act. But with its latest move China intends to send a message to the US whose reputation is at its ebb in Pakistan. Till now both the US and Pakistan has greatly benefitted from each other’s companionship. Though the US leadership is unwilling to relent, of late there is a growing tide of dissent among the security advisers in the US for extending uncanny financial bounties to the Pakistan. Pakistan has been a base for the US for its alleged activities in the continent of Asia, more so in restricting the headway of Russia into Afghanistan. On pretext of being relatively ill equipped to tackle the Indian Forces Pakistan has smartly milked the US to accumulate weapons and arms on a large scale. But now the US seems to be slowly losing interest in Pakistan. Hence the inimical Pakistan is eagerly latching onto China, a befitting counter to the US. Pakistan in fact wants Beijing to help them in negotiating with Afghanistan and Taliban to completely strangle out India’s alliance with Afghanistan.  Also, with Indo-US ties reaching all time high, China has become unequivocally generous towards Pakistan to contain the perceived Indian threat.

While this is not the first time that China has shielded Pakistan, the veto coming just days after Indian operation across the Myanmar borders raises serious doubts about the intentions of the China-Pakistan duo. The resolution against the UN designated terrorist was backed by 14 of the 15 members in the UN Security Council. Previously China blocked sanctions against Jaish-e- Mohammed Chief Masood Azhar in 2009. In December 2010 they prevented the UNSC from imposing sanctions on Hafeez Saeed and Jamat-ud Dawa and earlier this year they blocked Indian appeal to include Hizab-ul Mujahideen Chief Syed Salahuddin in the terrorist list. These dubious stances of China clearly reflect its desperation to maintain abiding friendship with Pakistan. China and Pakistan would continue to be unrivalled partners due to their enmity with India. Chinese disgruntlement towards India partly stems from its joint oil exploration with Vietnam in the South China Sea.

The Pakistan-China diplomatic relations were established in 1950, military assistance began in 1966 and friendship deepened as Pakistan facilitated the Nixon-Mao meeting in 1972 which helped China to resurrect from a phase of its diplomatic isolation. Subsequently economic cooperation took off in 1979 and currently China is the largest arms supplier and third biggest trading partner of Pakistan. Fostering friendly relations with China has been the most vital aspect of Pakistan foreign policy.

Pakistan was a key country during Afghan Taliban war at a time when China had severe bickering with Russia. Pakistan’s confrontation with Soviet Union won the hearts of the Dragon. Consequently, it helped Pakistan acquire nuclear capability and missile capability through North Korea. In the aftermath of Tiananmen Square protests in 1989 besides Cuba, Pakistan stood by China and now it largely supports China on the issues of Xinjiang, Taiwan and Tibet. In turn China supports Pakistan’s claims over Kashmir. Further Pakistan acts as a bridge for China to reach out to the Muslim nations. Apart from these strategic alliances both nations have an ongoing free trade agreement. The generous $46 billion Chinese investments announced by President Xi on his recent visit to Pakistan testimonies the profligate friendship. With an eye on gaining access to Arabian Sea and Indian Ocean China has offered to developed the strategic Gwadar port. Plans are underway to increase connectivity and access to Pakistani territory through the Xinjiang province of China along the PoK (Pakistan Occupied Kashmir).   With this China would not only revel in having gainful access from Persian Gulf to Arabian Sea but also would celebrate containment of India.  While China may be highly elated at its increasing geographical footprint it failed to factor in the paranoia and the impact of Pakistani bred terrorists on the brewing Islamist Movement in its Xinjiang province.

Pakistan now considered a Pariah state is looking forward to China to avert castigation among coterie of nations. Commentators in West now draw parallels to mutual allegiances between to these nations to that of Israel- United States relationship. China has been wooing Pakistan substantially with matching deals of the kind India obtained from the US. China seriously considers Pakistan as a regional counterweight to counter India. Hence China continues to block India’s attempts to enter the Nuclear Supplier’s Group and adamantly refrained from recommending India’s permanent membership to UNSC.

India and China reciprocally back each other at international fora (World Trade Organisation & Environment Councils) and have recently joined hands to raise alternative financial institutions like the BRICS New Development Bank and the AIIB (Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank) to fund their infrastructure projects. While the economic cooperation between the nations is commendable a long term partnership is not feasible due to deep seated trust deficit. Though India helped China in procuring the permanent membership in the UN Security Council in 1971 India’s help was blatantly unacknowledged.

Following the Chinese veto Indian government should wake up and stop misreading Chinese intentions despite the high-profile and electrifying reception extended to Modi in Xian Province. While $20 billion worth business deals were signed between India and China during Modi’s China visit, major breakthrough wasn’t made on boundary disputes. Also Modi and Premier Li Keqiang issued a joint statement to counter terrorism but unfortunately China fails to walk the talk. Thus the noble objective of curtailing the cross-border movement of terrorists has yet again succumbed to the Chinese intransigence.

Under the reign of President Xi, China embarked on a mission mode of undeterred aggressive expansionism. In a bid to make its global presence imminent, it initially befriended India’s neighbours with a promise of building robust infrastructure. Subsequently it partnered with Russia in vetoing UN resolution on Syria. Brazenly flouting the international law it fortified its islands in the South China Sea and intimidated all other weaker nations who have claims over islands in the South China Sea with its economic clout. While it has been instrumental in floating two multilateral banks to counter the West, it indirectly started sponsoring dictatorial regimes across Africa and in the recent instance it has exercised its veto power to block Indian resolution. In its frantic mode of extending its muscles over the globe to emerge as a fledging super power, China is out on a wild run. These efforts of China are going to be inimical in this increasingly multipolar world. With the recent instance, China has displayed its unquestionable amity with Pakistan. But the larger issue remains as how its ambitious plans of building economic corridor between these countries would progress in safe havens of terror and how Beijing would handle the simmering radical Muslim movement in its own backyard.
 
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