21st century is projected as Asian century
accredited to engine global economic growth and development. In 19th
century European powers largely dominated the globe and the scenario remained
more or less unchanged till the end of both World Wars. Later America slowly
emerged eclipsing the European dominance marking the beginning of the American
century. It ascended to the stature of the global super power post cold war and
reigned supreme following the collapse of the Soviet Union. Its hegemonic
status began to fade away following its attack on Iraq and subsequent five year
economic crisis. In the mean while the Asian countries slowly began to rise and
make their mark on the global platform. Thus while the European countries have
reached the stage of saturation with diminishing employment opportunities,
slowing of economy the ascent of Asia has become even more promisingly evident.
Slowly the planet is now witnessing resurgence of multiple powers a trend that
existed before 19th century.
With Asian countries ambitiously launching massive schemes to
propel their economic trajectories there is an insatiable appetite for natural
resources. This has triggered intense competition between the nations within
the continent. Resource constraint is now a major burden on these growing
economies, propelling them to import natural resources like mineral ores,
fossil fuels like coal, oil and natural gas putting pressure on international
resources and triggering price volatility. The resource appetite of the growing
Asian giant for the past three decades has been fuelling the demand of oil in
global markets. A sudden dip in the demand for oil supplies in global market is
experienced recently as the Chinese economy began to trail.
Unlike North America, Europe and Australia which are richly
endowed with natural resources Asia has the lowest per capita of resource
availability. Putting great pressure on the economy and scuttling the growth
trajectory as well. Starved of the crucial inputs like natural resources, these
developing nations are increasing dependent on external sources which on long
term can lead to geopolitical tensions and environmental degradation.
Asian competition over natural resources is sharpening and
aggravating disputes in the resource rich region of South and East China Sea.
The entire dispute surrounding the Japanese controlled Senakaku islands of 7
sq. Km on which China makes its claims is surrounded by rich hydrocarbon
reserves. The reason for the territorial disputes over Kashmir, Golan Heights,
the West Bank, Tibet, Central Asia’s Ferghana valley and more recently about
Arunachal Pradesh are about resources than land. The Xinjiang province which is
rich in hydrocarbons along with Tibet has been forcibly engulfed by China for
the same reason.
Majority of the Asian cities continue to dominate the list of
most polluted cities and are reeling under acute water shortage. All the major
economies of Asia are on the brink of water stress. International standards
describe water stress as a situation when the availability of water is less
than 1700 cubic meters per year. China has to support 19% of global population
with 6.7% of the global water resources. While the situation in India is even
grim as it has mere 4.3% of World water available at its behest for 17.8% of
World population on its territory. With the per capita availability of 2030 cubic
metres in China it is still not water scarce by 2013 while India and South
Korea are water scarce.
The problem of water scarcity is compounded in Asia because
the rate of utilisation of fresh water exceeds its renewable stocks. Further
unscientific practices like digging deeper wells, polluting & eroding
rivers and transferring surface water across the basins Asia is using up its
future resources for present use. This inadvertent use has resulted in
depletion of already scarce water resources. In part, state policies like free
electricity, subsidized diesel and irrigation subsidies have paved way for
exhaustion of water resources. Consequently Asia has the lowest efficiency of
water use and productivity. Already 50 % of the population experience water
stress and by the end of this decade it is projected to cover two-thirds of
world population.
Asian economies are encountering major food challenges too as
bulk of the water resources are now to be shared among agriculture, expanding industries
and cities. As a result the productivity of crops is lagging behind the demand
and failing to keep in line with the rising levels of prosperity. New technologies
should be employed to increase the productivity of the crops. A small step
towards it can be a shift in focus of cultivation from high water intensive
cropping to micro irrigation systems. Management of the limited supplies will
shape not only the economic trajectories of these countries but also quells
security issues. Asia is dire need of attaining energy dependence. India
imports nearly 90% of its energy supplies. Until India becomes self-reliant in
terms of energy, it can’t aspire to relieve economic poverty of its masses.
Water and energy constraints in long term can hamper the growth and progress of
the nation. Nations must usher into energy technology revolution and seriously
induct strategies to clean up polluted or brackish water, chemically treat and
recycle waste water and try to make ocean water potable.
The resource crunch has triggered inter-state rivalries over
the direction of gas and oil pipelines. While China has been successful in
obtaining hydrocarbons through pipelines from Russia, Kazakhstan and Myanmar
other major Asian economies like India, South Korea and Japan lack access to
such direct supply through pipelines. They are highly dependent on the oil
imports through sea from the unstable Persian Gulf region.
Fight over resources has become more common in Asia.
Especially construction of dams and hydro electric projects by one country to
increase its water supply and storage capacities often severely affects the
lower riparian states. Asian countries must seriously evolve policies to tame
the issues of resource sharing else this might stoke tensions or conflicts. 53
of 57 transnational river basins in Asia have no water-sharing arrangement or
other cooperative mechanisms. This has been the reason for strained political
relations between countries in most Asian regions.
Even history is replete of stories where nations waged
battles to have unbridled authority over the resource rich regions. During the
World War II, Japan attempted a sneak peak attack on Pearl Harbor in
desperation over the US oil, steel and scrap-metal embargoes. Even the recent
attack on Iraq by the US is propelled by its greed for resources.
While
strategic competition for resources is inevitable for the saga of development,
Asian leaders should carve out norms and establish institutions that can
moderate associated risks of resource management/sharing. Besides Asia, Africa
is another continent where regional cooperation and integration is thread bare.
Historical animosities, political and cultural diversities in part have
hampered institution-building in these continents. To overcome the growing
adversities of resource crunch inter-state relationships should be strengthened
and nations should work harmoniously in coordination. @ Copyrights reserved.
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