An assassination in the most unexpected countries of the world has stunned not only the native residents but sent shock waves across the globe. The former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated during a political campaign ahead of the elections for the Upper House in the city of Nara. Considered a safe country with the lowest crime rates a violent attack on their longest-serving Prime Minister, the country was shaken.
Abe is among
the most consequential global statesman, who has reshaped the geopolitical
contours of the Indo-Pacific region. Ahead of the times, discerning the
much-touted peaceful rise of China is everything but peaceful, expounded a
vision, “Confluence of Two Seas” while addressing the Indian Parliament
in 2007. Conceptualising a ‘broader Asia’ which is free and open,
enriched by the dynamic coupling of freedom and prosperity of the Pacific and
the Indian Oceans, he proposed an immense network spanning the entire region
comprising four democracies that would foster co-existence and transparency.
This idea soon evolved into the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue with Japan,
India, Australia, and the US as partners marking the genesis of the Indo-Pacific
as a geopolitical construct.
Abe’s
intuitive vision stems from the horrors of the war which imperial Japan underwent.
Post-World War II, Japan vowed to never wage a war and created a free and
democratic country, and resolved to uphold the rule of law. Bound by a Pacifist
Constitution, creating a security net has been a vital necessity. Growing
threats from the nuclear North Korea, historical animosities with South Korea and
territorial disputes with China have prompted Abe to partner with a democratic India,
which shares the same values, interests and threats.
The friendly
relations between India and Japan touched new heights under the leadership of
Modi and Abe. Both leaders, avowed nationalists, mindful of the Chinese
aggression have fortified the relationship by adding new layers of cooperation.
Saying, “strong India is in the best interest of Japan and strong Japan is
in the best interest of India” and cognizant of India’s developmental
challenges, Abe promoted investments in India and making an exception pursued a
civil nuclear agreement. Consenting to the transfer of Shinkansen Technology,
Abe played a pivotal role in realizing India’s dream of bullet trains.
Together, Modi and Abe laid the foundation for the Mumbai-Ahmedabad High-Speed
Rail (MAHSR) in 2017 giving a massive fillip to India’s infrastructure
development aspirations.
The
exceptional camaraderie and personal chemistry between Modi and Abe indeed
steered Indo-Japanese ties to new heights. An element of inviolable trust
eventually led to Japan under Abe’s leadership becoming a development partner
of India in the insurgent-infested North East region. Committed to development
and prosperity, India and Japan launched Asia Africa Growth Corridor, and
jointly collaborated on developmental projects in Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.
Abe-Modi
eventually scripted a new chapter in the bilateral ties through “personal
diplomacy” which wasn’t just limited to warm hugs and effusive smiles. The exceptional
bonhomie of the leaders and their reverence towards each other cultures have
inadvertently brought the people of both countries together. Abe’s devoted
presence at the Ganga Aarti, visit to Sabarmati Ashram and his enthusiastic
appreciation of hospitality extended in Ahmedabad welcoming him- all these
public events have left an indelible impression on the minds of Indians.
Abe’s Japan
stood with India during the Doklam stand-off and the current logjam across the
LAC. In recognition of his contributions in fostering India-Japan ties, India
has bestowed Padma Vibhushan on Abe in 2021. A consequential leader, Abe
realised the need to cultivate strong ties with like-minded countries and
strived to establish a stable framework and architecture for a stable, secure,
peaceful and prosperous Indo-Pacific. The Indo-Pacific concept is now widely
popular and many countries have devised Indo-Pacific strategies to counter
expansionist China. To further the India-Japan friendship, in May Abe took over
as the chair of the India-Japan Association. With his death, India will miss a
great friend in Abe.
To overcome
compulsions of self-imposed pacificism, Abe adopted a transformative approach
to Japan’s security. When Abe first
assumed charge in 2006, Japan didn’t have a defence ministry. He upgraded the
Defence Agency to Defence Ministry and envisioned alternative ways to fortify the
country’s defenses.
In response
to dramatic changes in the regional power balance, during his second term
rapidly introduced some fundamental changes. Dubbed as “Abe Doctrine”, he planned
to amend Article 9 of the constitution, established the National Security
Council, revised the National Security Strategy, updated the National Defence
Program Guidelines and the Medium-Term Defense program.
JapanIn
2014, he lifted the arms export and established an Acquisition, Technology and
Logistics Agency (ATLA) to handle defence procurement, research and
development. In 2015, he adopted the Legislation for Peace and security to
exercise the right to collective self-defense. He also attempted to normalise
relations with Russia to find a mutually accepted solution for the lingering
territorial disputes1.
While Abe’s
emphasis on the security aspect was remarkable, his pursuits to revive the
economy- ‘Abenomics’ have been moderately successful in stabilizing the Japanese
economy. After America’s pulled out from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), amid
the emergence of the China-dominated, RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic
Partnership) Abe revamped and rescued the trade agreement and steered the Comprehensive
and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTTP).
Abe
presciently forewarned the world of China’s rise and strongly advocated the
need for a rules-based international order. Though Abe resigned for the second
time as Prime Minister in 2020 due to health problems, during a lecture in
December, he said, “an increasingly powerful China toward Japan and Taiwan
were likely to become more complex blurring the line between war and peace”2.
Being a
visionary statesman with deep insights into the geopolitical realities, he
engaged with southeast Asian countries, Middle East, and African countries and
favored bilateral, quadrilateral or multilateral strategic coalitions for
specific issues.
Abe
successfully revived ties with many countries. But his outreach to South Korea
was marred by controversies- ‘comfort women’, reparations and ‘forced labour’.
Abe’s visit to Yakusune Shrine in 2013, stirred up historical hostilities.
Though he tried to make it up by offering condolences on the 70th
anniversary of the end of World War II, falling short of an apology, the
gesture was deemed insensitive. On the
other hand, Abe’s act of reconciliation through a visit to Pearl Harbour on the
75th anniversary of the attacks rejuvenated Japan-US relations.
Abe is one
of the most strategically aware leaders who persistently cautioned of China’s
belligerence and its imminent threat to the peace and security of the Indo-Pacific
region. No wonder, while the world mourned the demise of Abe, Chinese social
media gleefully celebrated.
Born in a
political family, Shinzo Abe was the youngest and longest-serving Prime
Minister of Japan. As a leader of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), he led the
party to landslide victories in 2012, 2014, and 2017. Labelled as an ‘Ultra
Nationalist’ by liberal media agencies, Abe was a conservative, right-wing
nationalist leader who left behind an illustrious legacy and the world will
surely miss his wise counsel and strategic intuitiveness.
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