Even as Russian aggression continues to dominate the geopolitical conversations, Indo-Pacific with its strategic and geographical salience has turned into a ground for contestations. Turning focus away from the heated Eurasian front, reassuring allies President Biden made a five-day visit to South Korea and Japan, which hosted the Quad summit. The security situation of the region has become so perilous that the US spy planes flew over the Korean Peninsula twice ahead of the Biden’s visit amid reports of a likely ICBM testing by North Korea.
Fixated on
taking over its weakest enemy, the US thus far expended resources and energy on
strengthening its trans-Atlantic alliance. Switching gears, intent on making
some meaningful difference in the region which has tremendous geopolitical and
economic heft, Biden attended the second in-person Quad summit in Tokyo.
Embroiled by
China’s aggressive policies, a plausible Taiwan invasion, continuing Sino-India
logjam, and an unabated missile testing by North Korea, Indo-Pacific has become
a potential flashpoint. The formidable China challenge in the region has forced
like-minded democratic countries to counter the hegemon. Beijing realizes this
reality and therefore vehemently opposes the Quad. It firmly denounces the
elevation of the geographical construct “Indo-Pacific” as opposed to the
“Asia-Pacific” and always reserved its strident criticism towards the
Quad.
Ahead of the
Quad summit, at a press conference with Pakistan foreign minister Bilawal
Bhutto by his side Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi remarked, that the Indo-Pacific
strategy is “bound to fail” as it is vigorously promoted by Washington
to “contain” Beijing. He added, that the Indo-Pacific strategy “cooked
up” by the US, in the name of “freedom and openness”, is keen on
forming “cliques”… to “change China’s surrounding environment”.
Its purpose is to contain China and make Asia-Pacific countries serve as “pawns”
of the US hegemony1.
Demolishing
China’s contentious references to the Quad as “Asian NATO”, the Quad
summit at Tokyo evolved a new framework for resilient cooperation in the
Indo-Pacific. Reinventing itself as a “force for good”, the Quad leaders
holding a summit for the fourth time, gave a new directionality to the Quadrilateral
Security Dialogue. The Quad 1.0 envisioned by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo
Abe in the aftermath of the 2014 tsunami was revived a decade later when the
new incarnate Quad 2.0 attempted to condition itself as a new grouping with a
purpose.
Despite
major leadership changes, drawn together by an issue-based agenda of “Free
and Open Indo-Pacific” the member states- Australia, India, Japan, and the
US made demonstrable progress. President Biden who largely disowned a majority
of his predecessor’s policies reshaped the Quad. He summoned the first-ever virtual
summit of Quad leaders in March 2021 and since then leaders held four meetings
in a span of 14 months mirroring the burgeoning cohesiveness of the group.
Contrary to
the speculations of India’s softer stance on Russian aggression derailing the unity,
putting differences at bay Quad countries focussed on an integrative approach
to shaping the region and the world at large. Barring a passing reference to
the alarming humanitarian due to “tragic conflict raging in Ukraine”, it
was business as usual at the Quad. Recognizing the need for providing an institutional
void, in the most happening region of the World, the revitalized Quad has set
ambitious agenda to cater to the aspirations of the Indo-Pacific. The
announcement of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF) a day
ahead of the Quad created quite a stir.
Thus far identified
for unidimensional Malabar Naval exercises, trumping the skepticism over Quad’s
strategic reality, the member states, which are democracies with pluralistic
societies with similar structural aspects strongly reiterated support for the
principles of freedom, rule of law, territorial integrity, UN charter and
peaceful resolution of disputes. Condemning the use of force or unilateral
attempts to change the status quo, underscored the need for freedom of
navigation and overflight in East and South China for the peace and stability
of the region. Ostensibly, true to its belligerent disposition, Chinese bombers
flew nearby the Quad summit venue2 demonstrating its
discomfiture over the coming together of the key stakeholders of the Indian and
Pacific Oceans.
A stable
Indo-Pacific region is crucial for global peace and prosperity. China’s
bellicose policies and expansionism have impelled various countries and groups
to evolve an Indo-Pacific strategy. The Quad underscored the centrality and
unity of the ASEAN and reaffirmed support for the Pacific Islands Unity Forum,
implementation of the ASEAN Outlook for the Indo-Pacific and welcomed the EU
strategy for cooperation in the region.
China’s
unilateral actions- reclamation and militarisation of disputed features in the
South China Sea, instituting the ADIZ and new maritime law have steadily altered
the regional balance. Now, China has fast-tracked a region-wide agreement on
policing, security and data communication cooperation with Pacific Islands. Having
failed to rein in China from clinching a security agreement with the Solomon
Islands, the Quad is reiterating the need for a Free and Open Indo-Pacific more
than ever. Interestingly, the US-driven Quad which has been vocal on the East
and the South China Sea failed to make a mention of the ongoing Indo-China
logjam.
In a similar
vein, the Quad called for the implementation of the ASEAN Five Point Consensus
for the Myanmar crisis and the denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula. Condemning
the Mumbai and Pathankot attacks, the Quad denounced terror proxies
perpetrating cross-border terrorism. Underlining
the need for upholding international standards in combatting the financing of
terrorism Quad members collectively demand that Afghan territory must never be
used to shelter or train or threaten or attack any country.
At the first
virtual summit of the Quad leaders, three working groups on Climate change,
vaccines, and critical and emerging technologies was launched. Three more
working groups on cybersecurity, infrastructure and space were added to the
list at the first in-person Quad summit in Washington in September 2021. Quad has pledged delivery of 1 billion covid vaccine
doses by the end of this year and thus far, the group has delivered 670 million
doses. Indo-Pacific countries Cambodia and Thailand were among the recipients
of Made in India vaccines. With Quad expanding the arenas of cooperation,
delivery would be key to earning confidence and trust.
At the
height of the pandemic Quad engaged with other like-minded countries in the
region and the US held the first Global Covid -19 Summit. As members of the
Group of Friends of UHC (Universal Health Coverage) Quad evinced interest in
reforming the global health architecture for enhancing PPR (Pandemic Prevention
Preparedness and Response), committed $542 million to the next phase of the
Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness for Innovation (CEPI) and coordinating
efforts through “COVID-19 Prioritised Global Action Plan for Enhanced
Engagement (GAP)” and COVAX Vaccine Delivery Partnership3.
The
Indo-Pacific region with immense potential for growth and infrastructure
assistance can drive productivity and prosperity. China’s opaque infrastructure
initiatives have pushed several countries into a “Debt trap”. There is a dire
need for a sustainable and transparent infrastructure initiative to meet the requirements
of developing countries in the region. Quad announced $50 billion towards
infrastructure investment over the next five years. The US has thus far envisioned and launched
Build Back Better World (BBBW) and Blue Dot Network (BDN) as a counter to
China’s BRI. Apart from infrastructure BBBW includes aspects like -health care,
digital technologies, climate, and gender equality. While the initiatives are
in infancy, the US is yet to develop an ambitious partnership and prove its
implementation capabilities. Indeed, to promote debt sustainability and
transparency, Quad plans to have a “Quad Debt Management Resource Portal”
in close collaboration with finance authorities.
Expanding
the scope of the climate change programs, countries launched Quad Climate
Change Adaptation and Mitigation Program (Q-CHAMP) which includes green
shipping and ports for building a green corridor framework; Climate information
services for Pacific Island countries that are disaster-prone, building climate-resilient
infrastructure through Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI). To
strengthen collaboration to effectively respond to disasters, Quad members
announced the establishment of the “Quad Partnership on Humanitarian
Assistance and Disaster Relief (HADR)”. To combat the menace of illegal
fishing and China’s covert maritime aggression Quad launched -the Indo-Pacific
Partnership for Maritime Domain Awareness (IPMDA) which works in coordination
with Indo-Pacific countries and regional Information Fusion Centres. Besides
promoting maritime domain awareness, IPMDA would effectively monitor the Chinese
Naval and maritime militia activities.
Cognizant of
cyber vulnerabilities, bolstering Quad Cybersecurity Partnership, Quad partners
plan to initiate the first-ever Quad Cybersecurity Day. Pandemic has exposed chinks
in the existing global supply chains as many countries reeled under the
shortage of semiconductors. Realising the need to leverage complementary
strengths, Quad has launched the Common Statement of Principles on Critical
Technology Supply Chains to advance cooperation on semiconductors and other
critical technologies. Cooperation in advanced technologies besides propelling
economic growth can offer a new window of opportunities for a country like
India.
Strengthening
the cooperation in digital technologies, Quad plans to advance interoperability
and security through new a Memorandum of Cooperation on 5G Supplier
Diversification and Open RAN. Enhancing space cooperation “Quad
Satellite Data Portal” that aggregates the Earth observation data was
unveiled. To foster people-to-people ties, the bedrock for robust ties, Quad
officially launched Quad Fellowship for students in STEM fields.
Quad members
have fashioned out a framework of cooperation that can collectively mitigate
the challenges posed by China in the region. The effectiveness of the Quad as a
major strategic player will be determined by the seriousness of intent, timely
implementation and a long-term commitment of the countries. But somewhere in their quest for fostering
robust ties and seamless collaboration on non-traditional issues, while the Tokyo
summit made the right noises, the core aspect of the security of the
Indo-Pacific has been sacrificed. Having
unleashed an ambitious vision for the region, the Quad will be judged for its
delivery.
China has
upended the regional balance with its unilateral and provocative actions and
changed the status quo of the region. Instead of directly taking the illiberal
hegemonic power to task, the Tokyo summit chose to “advance resilience,
sustainability, inclusiveness, economic growth, fairness and competitiveness of
(our) economies”. Through this initiative, the Quad aims to “contribute
to cooperation, stability, prosperity, development and peace within the region”. The Tokyo Summit made a good beginning in
terms of giving a massive fillip to the Indo-Pacific strategy. By toning down
on the security aspect, the quintessential attribute of providing security by
the Quad has been lost.
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