Ukraine crisis has upended the geopolitical calculus. Strategic congruence which is the cornerstone of bilateral partnerships has come under strain in numerous cases. Indeed, the impetuous remarks of the US deputy NSA Daleep Singh’s on consequences of violating sanctions against Russia has threatened to wreck the India-US relationship. Against these odds, both countries successfully concluded the fourth edition of 2+2 Ministerial Dialogue. Defying the grist of the rumour mills that predicted a doom for the India-US ties, in a testament to the shared commitment and strategic understanding, leaders of both countries held a virtual summit preceding the 2+2 dialogue.
Setting the
tone for the engagement, leaders Prime Minister Modi and President Biden affirmed
that strengthening of the Indo-US comprehensive global strategic partnership
would accrue “tremendous benefits to the two countries and would contribute
to the global peace, prosperity and stability”1, read the
MEA statement. The White House press release stated, “they emphasized their
shared commitment, as leaders of the world’s largest democracies, to respect
for the sovereignty and territorial integrity of all nations in the
Indo-Pacific and beyond”2. In fact, the press releases of
both countries had set the agenda for the 2+2 Dialogue. EAM Jaishankar and Defence
Minister Rajnath Singh met their US counterparts Secretary of State Anthony
Blinken and Defence Secretary Llyod Austin and held wide ranging discussions to
expand and cement the clean energy, military, defence, technology, economic
cooperation and people to people ties.
Indeed, the
4th edition of the 2+2 which marks 75th year of India’s
independence and establishment of Indo-US bilateral ties sought to “promote
a resilient, rules-based international order that safeguards sovereignty and territorial
integrity, uphold democratic values and promote peace and prosperity for all”3.
While the mainstay of Indo-US ties has been convergence of strategic interests,
India’s stand on Ukraine crisis has unsettled the US.
To American
frustration, despite intimidation, India remained unfazed and stoically
maintained a neutral stand. India’s neutrality perceived as pro-Russian stance
has been at the root of this contention even though India has unequivocally
condemned Bucha killings and called for an independent investigation. In fact, India was among one of the first
countries to extend humanitarian assistance to Ukraine and dispatched three
tranches of aid including medical supplies till now.
US is facing
a major strategic challenge in the Indo-Pacific in the form of belligerent
China. Instructively, with the US turning its eyes away from Indo-Pacific due
to its “Russian syndrome”, China dominated the space. Reworking its
initiatives and unremittingly pursuing economic diplomacy, Beijing began occupying
the strategic spaces abandoned by the US. Pushing into the Eurasian space,
Middle East and South east Asia, Beijing slowly pulling these regions into it
orbit. The West’s 2014 punitive sanctions post Crimean annexation firmed the
Sino-Russian alliance, the current round of weaponization of trade, currencies
and international isolation of Russia has cemented the “no limits friendship”
of Russia and China.
Guided by
commitment to democracy and pluralism, India and the US are natural partners. Further, their growing interest to promote a
resilient, rules-based international order and strategic convergence towards
free and open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) have significantly brought them closer.
Firefighting
China’s menacing presence into the Oceania currently, the need to partner with
India to counter China dawned on America. Additionally, India’s reputation as
net security provider of the Indian Ocean Region (IOR), formidable attributes
for a steady economic rise, the common pursuit of FOIP and close collaboration
through the Quad Security Dialogue weighed heavily. Resultantly, displaying a
spark of ingenuity and constructive engagement, disallowing the contentions to
mire the relationship, countries held 2+2 dialogue and chartered out a blue
print for a pragmatic strategic partnership.
Reaffirming
commitment to the Indo-Pacific region, the 2+2 reiterated dedication to
constructive agenda of Quad which included reviewing the Quad working groups on
vaccines, climate change, infrastructure, space, critical and emerging
technologies. In fact, the Quad Vaccine Initiative made remarkable progress and
Cambodia became the first country to receive 325,000 doses of Made in India
Covid-19 vaccines4. The 2+2 dialogue reviewed various facets
of the cooperation besides the initiatives of the Quad.
Under the
ambit of the global partnership, both sides recognised the importance of
reliable internet and safe cyberspace and reaffirmed to 2021 reports of UN Open
Ended Working Group and UN Group of Governmental Experts and countries confirmed
intent to work closely to prevent usage of cyberspace for criminal activities.
US welcomed India’s launch of new joint National Investigation Officers
Training of Trainers Course in collaboration with the UN for multilateral
peacekeeping force training.
Countries
discussed the global and regional issues such as the need for an inclusive
government in Afghanistan, cessation of violence in Myanmar, urgent
implementation of the ASEAN Five Point Consensus, economic crisis and political
disturbances in South Asia. Condemning terrorism, countries directly called on
Pakistan to take immediate, sustained and irreversible action to prevent the
use of its territory for any terrorist activities.
As part of
India-US Statement of Guiding Principles on Triangular Cooperation for Global
Development, both countries through their agencies, Development Partnership
(DPA) and USAID (United States Agency for International Development) decided to
expand triangular cooperation with third countries in Asia and Africa.
Both
countries having denounced the Belt and Road Initiative have affirmed interest
to promote sustainable and reliable infrastructure development through Blue Dot
Network and Build Back Better World, and support disaster impacted countries
through India’s Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI).
Upward
trajectory of bilateral trade surpassing the $113 billion in goods has inexorably
turbo charged the relations. Riding on the wave of economic cooperation,
countries have expedited talks to remove trade barriers and improve ease of
doing business through India-US Trade Policy Forum. Reconvening the India-US
Commercial Dialogue and CEO forum, they underlined the need for Critical and
Emerging Technologies to advance cooperation in information technology, space
technology, AI, quantum science, semiconductors, biotechnology and STEM.
Significantly, even negotiations for Investment Incentive Agreement (IIA) have
reached an advanced stage.
The major
thrust of bilateral energy cooperation has been clean energy technology. But a
volatility in energy markets could threaten orderly and predictable global
energy transition. India reinforced the nascent connect between the stability
of fuel prices and climate change action. Given India’s commitment to climate
change, Indian ministers appealed US to stop targeting India for its measly
imports from Russia.
In the past
three editions of 2+2 dialogue, India and US signed various foundational
agreements that enhanced strategic cooperation in terms of interoperability,
geospatial information exchange and logistics support. Registering another
milestone, countries signed MoU on Space Situational Awareness for bilateral
space cooperation and to ensure safety of outer space environment. This comes in
the backdrop of ISRO and NASA joint launch of NISAR (NASA-ISRO Synthetic
Aperture Radar) satellite to collect vital data in tackling climate crisis.
Interestingly, around the same time, Russia and China have also reached an
agreement for joint exploration of Moon and Mars.
Other
notable flagship initiatives mulled by both sides include establishment of Defense
Space Dialogue, AI Dialogue, India-US Education and Skills Development Working
Group and continuation of Defense Cyber Dialogue.
Military
cooperation has been a major dynamic of India-US partnership. In addition to
the ongoing bilateral and multilateral defense exercises such as MALABAR,
MILAN, TIGER TRIUMPH, YUDH ABHYAS, VAJRA PRAHAR, COPE and RED FLAG, furthering
maritime cooperation, US announced India’s joining of the Combined Maritime
Force as an associate partner in Indian Ocean.
India’s
reliance of Russia for defense purchases are now under scanner. To wean India
away from Russia, US must position itself as a trusted and reliable defense
partner. To promote India’s domestic capabilities, both countries are now
seeking to work closely on coproduction, co-development, cooperative testing of
the advanced systems and Maintenance Repair and Overhaul (MRO) facilities and
planning new projects under the India-US Defence Technology and Trade
Initiatives such as counter-unmanned aerial systems (UAS) and an Intelligence,
Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance (ISTAR) platform3.
India is
currently the third largest economy in terms of purchasing power parity (PPP),
sixth largest in absolute terms (GDP). With an enviable demographic dividend,
better business and investment environment, biggest consumer markets, stable
government, India is the most sought-after emerging economy to partner. Through
quick succession of FTAs with emerging economies India is lucrative place to
trade. Ticking all the right boxes
needed for strategic synergy and geo-economic orientation, India firmly positioned
herself as a pivot for global rebalance.
Indeed,
assertively claiming her right place on global stage, India is now repudiating prejudiced
criticism. EAM Jaishankar’s hard hitting response to India’s oil imports from
Russia- “if you’re looking at (India’s) energy purchases from Russia, I’d
suggest your attention should be on Europe. We buy some energy necessary for
our energy security. But I suspect, looking at figures, our purchases for the
month would be less than what Europe does in an afternoon”5.
Besides, his reply to a question by a reporter on “why not condemn Russia’s
invasion (of Ukraine)?”. Jaishankar countered, “I prefer to do it my way
and articulate it my way… We’ve made statements… We’re against the conflict”6.
India is
always taken for task by the Western media and the so progressive democrats on
the human rights issue. In fact, the Indian delegation remained silent when US
Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s took a swipe at India’s human rights. But
setting the record straight on the human rights aspects and attributing it to
American lobbies and vote banks, in one of his sharpest rebuttals, Jaishankar
said, “People are entitled to have views about us. We are also entitled to
have views about their lobbies and vote banks. We will not be reticent. We also
have views on other people’s human rights, particularly when it pertains to our
community”7. Jaishankar’s riposte is more telling given
three Sikhs were attacked in New York this week.
In a similar
vein, demonstrating India’s refusal to be intimidated by the CAATSA (Countering
American Adversaries Through Sanctions Act), Jaishankar said, “it is their
legislation whatever has to be done has to be done by them”7. India-US dialogue and the public perception
of the US are often stung by the unwarranted brazen bigotry of the media which
spews a narrative contrary to the policy. This has inadvertently seeded a
public distrust towards US in India.
Masterfully,
addressing the issue and offering a reality check, Jaishankar astutely
highlighted the adversities of such a dichotomy. “People in the
administration, people dealing with policy, they are well-informed and in many
ways they understand where India is coming from. At the same time, I would
quite honestly say the narrative, the public narrative, sometimes is very, very
different”8.
Trust and mutual
respect are quintessential to foster a seamless partnership. Reinforcing the
need to decimate these misunderstanding and partisanship, interacting with
Howard University students Jaishankar suggested, “for our ties to grow, it
is equally necessary that there is a better understanding of India and the
World on the part of young Americans. Your appreciation of a civilisational
state and a fellow democratic polity that is daily overcoming enormous odds is
essential. After all, we are natural partners only when our people have a
strong sense of connection”9.
On their five-day
visit to the US for the 2+2 dialogue, the Indian delegation besides affirming a
firm conviction to build a robust partnership has left no stone unturned to
address the seething misunderstandings and issues of contention.
India is now
a rising middle power and the colonial lens sported by commentariat and the
influential lobbies are posing insurmountable hurdles for an effective trust
building exercise and a longstanding time-tested relationship. During their
visit, along side putting in place a framework for comprehensive strategic
global partnership, the delegation has invariably set the terms of engagement
and demonstrated their unwillingness to be subdued. India expects the US to
walk the talk and treat India as an equal partner.
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