Tariff wars between US and China
are forcing nations to have a relook at globalization. Transformation caused by
globalization was meticulous. It contributed towards a seamless and borderless
world. With time countries that have managed to smartly put their competitive
advantage in manufacturing to advantage emerged as big players in global trade.
Steadily, the gap between the countries widened as countries with superior
manufacturing abilities began make huge profits through trade emerging as
winners of globalization. China, having emerged as a manufacturing giant, started
recording huge trade surplus at the behest of countries that lost out in this
competitive race. As a damage control or in real terms, countries which have
been grappling huge trade deficits in this case-US, resorted to levying new
tariffs. This trend which is labelled as protectionist is also regarded as an
anathema to free trade and open markets. Currently India is facing similar
situation with respect to the bloating trade imbalances with China. Over years,
India has turned into dumping yard for cheap Chinese goods which subsequently
took a toll on the Indian manufacturing sector. While China openly championed
for free markets it closed doors to Indian exports especially in pharmaceutical
and service sectors and enthusiastically imported raw materials. This
uncompetitive manufacturing sector coupled with skill deficit and the growing
burden of trade deficits started hurting Indian economy.
Owing to America’s protectionist
approach, China pledged to champion globalization. But China mortified concept
of free markets by imposing restrictions on access to its economy. It has been
violating the basic predicaments of free trade like Intellectual Property
rights and transparency. Free trade espoused by China has been a myth and in
course of time turned it into a double-edged sword escalating trade deficits.
Trade deficits together with deficit budget began to push economies into a
death spiral. US experienced this double-whammy for a decade plunging the
growth rate to less than 3%. India could
even hardly take such glum economic scenario.
To make country self-reliant,
Prime Minister Modi introduced the monumental Make in India initiative. While
skeptical Indians rue about this flagship initiative, this on long term holds
the promise of stabilizing Indian economy and keeps economy rolling. Modi
planned to maintain a reserve of $500billion and aimed at receiving foreign
investments of $50 to $60 billion to keep Indian economy robust and prosperous.
Modi aspires to turn Make in India initiative into a bed rock for Indian
economy. The concept of localized manufacturing with foreign investment can
generate new jobs, will prompt reskilling, provide impetus for research and
development. With the burden of imports gradually tapering, India can use the
profits generated as capital. Local manufacturing can reduce the need for
currency manipulation which in turn can mitigate currency volatility.
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