The tide of refugee crisis has been on rise in the 21st
century. The ongoing wars in the Middle East, dictatorial regimes in North
Africa, decades long war in Afghanistan, ethnic conflicts in Myanmar resulted
in forcible displacement of millions of hapless individuals from their native
countries. While the exodus of refugees to Europe, fleeing of Rohingya Muslims
have been widely debated, forced migration of Afghan refugees is hardly
discerned. Termed as the “worst migration crisis since World War II” in Europe,
refugee crisis is now included under the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG)
agenda of the UN.
Tormented by eternal conflicts, people from Afghanistan have
been fleeing to safer havens for the past three decades. Afghanistan is indeed
one of the largest producer of refugees. Ever since the Afghan revolution of
1978 followed by Soviet invasion in 1979, civil war in 1990 and oppressive
Taliban regime millions of Afghans began migrating to various countries. In the
past thirty years, over 2.4 million Afghan refugees crossed over to Pakistan
and mostly settled in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Baluchistan provinces (1.4 million
are registered refugees). But now the unprecedented return of these refugees
overwhelms Afghanistan.
Ever since Peshawar School attacks by Pakistan Taliban in
December 2014, Pakistan has renewed it campaign of humiliation and harassment towards
Afghan refugees. They were literally hounded to leave Pakistan. In the first
six weeks after the attack around 33,000 refugees were forced to migrate. From
Feb 2015, Pakistan authorities began raiding houses of Afghan refugees and
steadily mounting pressure to leave the country. Refugees as a last resort
began bribing Pakistan Officials to defer repatriations. But now refugees
having run out of money, decided to leave the country rather than face
increasing hostility and extortion of Pakistan security forces.
As per official records of the manned Tokhram Gate exit, the
average number of returnees which was thousand per day in 2015 increased to
four to five thousand. As per, UN’s emergency aid coordination body OCHA,
around 538,100 Afghans returned home. Border crossings have increased ever
since Pakistan announced deadline of March 31st 2017 for deportation.
Pakistan’s contemptible crackdown on Afghans has come under severe criticism. In
2002 Pakistan signed for a voluntary repatriation of Afghan refugees with United
Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) and Afghanistan. But it was
never duty bound and began forcibly expelling refugee ever since. Amidst
growing incidents of extortion, harassment, and intimidation Afghan refugees
are forced to return.
Incidentally, most refugees in thirties born in Pakistan or
have migrated when they were too young had made Pakistan their motherland. The
ordeal of these desolate refugees back into their country in war for the past
15 years is going to be disastrous. With war becoming increasingly menacing in
Afghanistan and Taliban controlling over dozen provinces, the conditions in
Afghanistan have steadily deteriorated. Now it is burdened by the baffling
internal displacement where people from the Taliban controlled cities and towns
are moving into hinterlands. Thus, as many as 300,000 internally displaced Afghans
have become refugees in their own country. With the arrest of Sharbat Gula, National
Geographic cover page fame, now aged 44 in Peshawar on November 9th,
the widespread crackdown of Pakistan has come to limelight. Gula aged 12, with
her piercing green eyes symbolized the plight of Afghan refugees who fled to
Pakistan during the Soviet War. She was arrested for holding a fake Pakistan
identity card and was deported to Afghanistan with her four children.
Afghans embroiled by the unrelenting war, selling off their
assets began knocking the doors of Europe for asylum. Afghans are the second
largest asylum seekers in Europe. The continent inundated by the exodus of
refugees from Syria began tightening controls. Germany which has sheltered
largest numbers of refugees indicated that asylum seekers from Afghanistan
which largely included the urban middle class must go back to their country and
help in nation building. They were denied any asylum. Moreover, European Union firmly
believed that Syria is in war zone but didn’t consider Afghanistan being in war
zone despite substantial increase in civilian casualties and deteriorating
security situation. EU subsequently evolved a policy that bestowed asylum
status to Syrians Only. At a conference in Brussels attended by 70 donor
countries in October, EU pledged $15.2 billion towards reconstruction of
Afghanistan until 2020 apart from the $5billion a year for military. In return
Afghanistan, must take back the 200,000 asylum seekers who thronged Europe.
While both parties indicated that the offer of funding is not subject to
Afghanistan accepting back the refugees EU’s persistence indicates otherwise.
Iran which is home to over 1 million Afghan refugees is now
coercing them to return. While the Afghan Hazaras who are Shia Muslims are
recruited to fight their wars in Middle East, the rest are persuaded to go
back. Able-bodied, young, Afghans are
lured to join Iranian forces with an offer of Iranian citizenship. Desperate
Afghan refugees are quickly grabbing this offer as prospects of employment and
better living conditions back home are bleak. Iran is thus using the refugees
as Expendable soldiers for hegemony wars.
Sadly, forced deportation of Afghan refugees is hardly
evincing any international opprobrium. Three decades of war has reduced
Afghanistan to shambles. Propitious developments in 2001 offered some cheer.
But rampant corruption, political infighting pushed the nation into abyss.
Further, resurgence of Taliban vanquished all hopes to revival for Afghanistan.
Issues of Contention
While Pakistan claims that Afghans are returning voluntarily,
ground picture indicates otherwise. Pakistan’s forced expulsions have deeper
connotations and reflects growing fissures between both countries. After the
Peshawar attacks in December 2014, Pakistan grew more suspicious and sought
regulation of goods and men through border crossings. New Afghan President
Ashraf Ghani made every attempt to forge closer ties with Pakistan. Through the
Quadrilateral Coordination Group, Pakistan promised to facilitate peace talks
between Taliban and Afghan government and pledged to work towards restoring
peace in Afghanistan. On the contrary, emboldened by the support from Pakistan
deep state, Taliban began to launch massive offensive on Afghanistan. Owing to
breach of trust, bilateral relations strained. By April 2016 Afghanistan and
Pakistan agreed to regulate the movement whereby Afghans were mandated to
produce authorized travel documents to cross the mountainous Torkham exit. Later
Afghans residing in Torkham area were ordered to evacuate. Over 300 families
were forced to leave and their houses were bulldozed. In May, with the death of
Mullah Mansour, chief of Afghan Taliban by the US in a drone attack, the
relations between the countries touched a new low. Afghanistan welcomed this
development, and questioned the intent of Pakistan for sheltering anti-Afghan
elements. Afghanistan subsequently called off the peace talks with Taliban mediated
Pakistan and denounced its duplicity. Irked Pakistan began to impose
restrictions on entry of Afghan nationals through Torkham Gate. Meanwhile, Islamabad
started building barbed fencing at the Torkham crossing despite Afghani
objections. Tensions between the countries escalated leading to exchange of
firing. Harassment of Afghans refugee increased post-Torkham Gate border
skirmishes.
During the same period, India has reached out to Afghanistan
and both countries revived the traditional linkages by signing the Trilateral
Transit Agreement of the Chabahar port, India built a Parliament Complex in
Kabul, dedicated Salma dam, pledged economic aid of $1 billion, supplied
refurbished battle tanks and helicopters. Afghanistan deepened strategic
partnership with India and firmly supported New Delhi’s isolate Pakistan
doctrine by deciding not to participate in SAARC Summit. Pakistan in a bid to
exert pressure on Afghan government from honing bilateral ties with India intensified
its attempts to evict Afghan refugees. Under the garb of counter terrorism operations,
Pakistan resorted to arbitrary arrests, detention, harassment, and conducted
police raids on Afghan refugees. Unarguably while Afghan refugees have changed
the political, economic, cultural, societal contour of Pakistan its deliberate
expulsions might eventually lead to a humanitarian crisis in Afghanistan. Paradoxically
while Pakistan is keen on deporting Afghan refugees it rather tight-lipped on the
expulsion of Quetta Shura, the Afghan Taliban militant organization that
operates from Baluchistan.
With winter approaching UN is making pleas to donors for
assistance. UNCHR announced that its facilitated repatriation program which
provides $400 for every refugee as a going-home package has paused its cash
grants from November 1st to March 1st. Pakistan has set a deadline of March 31st
for Afghan refugees to leave. With deadline, so close, all the registered
refugees with valid proof of residence would thus be left with no choice but to
leave Pakistan with the cash in grants of UN.
While registered refugees have some reprieve, the situation
of 1 million undocumented refugees is grievous. After 2007, Pakistan stopped
registering depriving them of the proof of residency cards. These undocumented
refugees are not eligible for cash grants. They are vulnerable to abuse and are
more likely leave Pakistan under pressure. While the deportations have come
down in November due to winter, the forced migration may invite severe
backlash. Pakistan must seriously reconsider its approach towards Afghan
refugees else the brewing humanitarian catastrophe in Afghanistan may spill
over.
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