Monday, 19 May 2014

Election Analysis: Voters Spurned UPA


 
The 16th Lok Sabha elections were regarded as the most crucial post emergency not only for the veracity of the corruption and poor governance but also due to the growing resentment among people. Though the results were not completely unexpected or out of sync but were a rude shock to the pusillanimous Congress party which failed to qualify for the status of leader of opposition. A popular poll survey agency, Chanakya, which shot into fame for predicting eclectic performance of AAP in Delhi Assembly elections, had predicted similar results in its exit poll analysis for the NDA. But the exit poll predictions were largely undermined and dismissed by most political parties. They were characteristically cynical and arrogant. Some exit poll predictions projected much conservative numbers even. These were doing rounds after the final phase of elections and have tipped the possibility of a khicidi sarkar with various regional satraps becoming the king/Queen makers of the incumbent government. But much to the dismay of the ruling coalition and the pseudo-intellectual, class who never lost an opportunity to undermine the credentials of the prime minister nominee, of the erstwhile principle opposition party, the electorate have gifted a sweeping victory to the much abhorred leader, Narendra Modi. Interestingly, while the electoral verdict handed over to debutante political party AAP in the recent assembly elections was highly commended, a class of self-styled intellectuals are quite defiant to accept the electoral decision of the current Lok Sabha elections. The triumphant victory was dubbed by them as an act of polarisation.
After a span of nearly three decades Indian masses have delivered a clear majority to one national party, bringing an end to the growing regime of coalition governments. A stable government at centre, at this stage can reboot the economy and restore investor confidence. All the major strategic decisions can be executed firmly irrespective of the coalition approval. After a decade long rule of the muted and diffident Man Mohan Singh, at the helm of affairs, there has been a raging listless among people.
 A democratic nation endows its citizen to elect the government and this electoral process kicked off in India with first general elections in India in 1952. The concept of democratically electing people’s representatives was borrowed from the western world. Its cogency in a nation like India post independence was largely debated since majority were illiterate. This has eventually led to assigning various symbols to different political parties by the election commission to facilitate illiterate masses to elect representatives. But the contour of India has undergone greater transition over the period of six decades.
The demography of 21st century India is different with 50% of its population under 35 years of age. Further with perceptible increase in literacy rates and high penetration of information and technology, there has been a gross change in perception of youth. Globalisation due to the economic reforms post 1991 has resulted in emergence of vibrant class of people with new aspirations for a better future. People now have high aspirations about better life and consciously want India to be an empowered nation. They realise the importance of good governance and the need for an efficient government. Or simply put, people are clear about what they want and whom they want. These resurgent masses can no longer be lured by subsidies and freebies. They have become more vigilant about issues related to country’s progress and development. People are now able to understand the implications of large scale of corruption and its impact on their daily lives. The last decade has witnessed a humongous numbers of money swindling cases and scams resulting wide spread anger. The growing desperation among people and their fervent hope for a change in governance together resulted in decimation of the ruling government.
Unlike yesteryears where more than half of the eligible voters were illiterates and their electoral choices were largely confounded by the parameters of race, religion, caste etc. Young India is effusively energetic. They have defied the clandestine discriminatory barriers and en masse voted for a new hope. These elections have witnessed a new precedent, where people have mercilessly rejected the leaders who went on a spree of shamelessly indulging in ruthless and massive corruption. People made a clarion call to politicians to seriously shed their feudalistic attitude and refrain from taking people’s approval for granted. In the mad rush for power, politicians across the parties have failed to connect up with people.
In this election people made a conscious decision of giving a chance to development and good governance. But the situation across India across different sections has not been same. Election campaign this year experienced new lows with parties indulging in speeches laced with vicious and discriminatory monologues. It has become a rare predicament to find leaders delivering motivating speeches focussed on development and growth.  While leaders who have struck a chord with the aspirations of common man were amply rewarded others were made to bite dust.
Though the message has been loud and clear that people have a zero tolerance towards corruption and misgovernance, an analysis of the vote share indicated that BJP has the lowest vote share to secure majority. This indicates a sanguine change towards a new change but the divisive forces too had held their sway but fortunately, the vote share failed to translate into numbers. Still the winds of change have to brush past the majority for building a strong and vibrant India. May people voice reign supreme and may the democratic process be more strengthened so that every new positive transformation in the society can contribute towards betterment of nation as a whole.
 
 
 
 
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