The speed with which India has transformed its ties with Australia is a case of strategic clarity which was amiss in New Delhi’s foreign policy previously. Seizing every opportunity, India is clearly defining its objectives and interests and forging new relations and resurrecting old ties to rightly position itself as a leading power.
For a long time, the India-Australia ties with immense
potential suffered strategic neglect. The last decade witnessed a sharp
reconfiguration of India-Australia ties. Observers believe that the visits of Prime
Minister Julia Gillard in 2012 and Tony Abbott in September 2014 have laid the
ground for a new phase in bilateral relationships marred with mistrust.
The real turnaround came with PM Modi’s iconic address
to the Australian Parliament in 2014 which articulated the connected history
and shared inheritances of India and Australia. Other than predominantly
hyphenated common interests- Common Wealth, Curry and Cricket, Modi spoke of –
demand, demography and development with prospective opportunities for Australia
in India. He underscored the strategic regional salience of Australia, saying “today,
the world sees Australia to be at the heart of Asia Pacific (Indo-Pacific
gained prominence in the late 2010s) and the Indian Ocean” 1 Modi
called for bilateral security cooperation.
In 2008, even though President Obama batted for an
exemption for India and supported candidature for NSG (Nuclear Suppliers Group)
Australia refused to sell Uranium nuclear fuel to India until it signed the nuclear
non-proliferation treaty. India was part of the Quadrilateral security dialogue
for democratic countries envisioned by Shinzo Abe in 2007 for an open,
inclusive Indo-Pacific. But owing to the dominant pro-China foreign policy
Australia remained indifferent toward India. Australia cultivated strong trading
ties with China and at the risk of irking the Dragon, Australia even pulled out
from Malabar exercises dampening the Indo-Pacific framework even before its
take off.
The Fukushima disaster in 2011 brought down the demand
for Uranium after major countries shut down nuclear reactors. This directly
affected Australia, which has World’s largest Uranium resources ranking among
the top five producers. On her three-day visit to India in 2012, Julian Gillard
signalled the beginning of negotiations for Uranium sale and countries sealed a
civil nuclear agreement during Tony Abbott’s state visit to India in 2014.
After three years, Australia shipped Uranium supplies to India.
During the Cold war and much later, India and
Australia always found themselves in opposite camps. Canberra’s act of
recalling the diplomatic entourage post India’s nuclear tests in 1998 left a
bitter aftertaste in the relations. Marred with hesitations, both countries had
strained relations. Ostensibly, Chinese aggressive expansionism, trade war with
China that intensified in the aftermath of Covid and the imposition of
anti-dumping and countervailing duties have galvanised, India-Australia
engagement. The common threat brought India and Australia closer on two fronts-
security and trade.
Giving a major fillip to the shared visions, interests
and opportunities, with a focus on the non-traditional security issues of
Indo-Pacific, countries worked together to elevate the senior officials meeting
(SOM) of India-Australia-Indonesia trilateral to foreign ministers and defence
ministers meetings in 20212. To ratchet up cooperation among
the Indian Ocean littorals, France announced a trilateral with resident powers of
the Indian Ocean, India and Australia in 2018. The trilateral
India-France-Australia (IFA) suffered a setback due to the AUKUS agreement.
Albanese’s visit to France in June 2022, witnessed a thaw in the relationship
and the meeting of foreign ministers of the three countries subsequently along
the sidelines of UNGA effectively revived the IFA3.
These mini-laterals have a defined objective of adherence
to the rules-based order and ensuring a free, open, inclusive and conflict-free
Indo-Pacific region. The revival of the Quad and the new mini-laterals have
notably put several countries in the region at odds with China. All these
countries have strong economic ties with China and are averse to any strategic
security alliance. Reckoning with the sensitivities of the countries to take on
the Dragon, India and Australia have always asserted the centrality of the
ASEAN countries in the Indo-Pacific region.
China’s revisionism is posing a significant threat to
strategic security calculus in the sphere of influence of both India and
Australia. The common concern about China’s assertiveness- the string of pearls
in India’s immediate neighbourhood and sweeping security deal for the Pacific
Island Countries (PIC) has brought India and Australia much closer. Further, they reaffirmed strengthening
cooperation in the Pacific in line with the needs and priorities of the Pacific
Island Countries (PIC). Clearly, mutual interests are driving them together.
Overcoming the covid imposed hurdles on in-person
diplomatic engagement, PM Modi and PM Scott Morrison held two virtual summits
to bolster bilateral ties. In 2020, India and Australia upgraded the strategic
partnership of 2009 to a “Comprehensive Strategic Partnership”.
Anthony Albanese’s three-day three-city state visit to
India on March 8th marked the first in-person annual summit between
both countries, an arrangement that was agreed upon last year. This is
Albanese’s first visit to India as the Prime Minister. The last Australian
Prime Minister to visit India was Malcolm Turnbull in 2017. India has an annual
summit arrangement with Japan and Russia. Australia is now on the privileged
list.
Additionally, both countries have a slew of
institutional mechanisms – Foreign Ministers Frame Work Dialogue, 2+2 Defence
and Foreign Ministers Dialogue, Defence Chiefs talks, Joint Trade & Commerce
Ministerial Commission, Australia-India Education Council, Energy Dialogue and
Joint Working Groups on different issues to strengthen the engagement on
multi-faceted issues. The rapid expansion of ties between the countries is
further strengthened by frequent high-level contacts and ministerial exchange
visits. There were 18 ministerial exchanges between both countries last year.
The interim free trade agreement, ECTA (Economic
Cooperation and Trade Agreement) is India’s first-ever FTA with a developed country.
This besides laying the foundation for robust economic cooperation has expanded
opportunities for the diversification of trade for both countries. Both Parliaments
ratified the ECTA which came into force on December 29, 2022.
As of 2021, India is Australia’s sixth-largest trading
partner and fourth-largest goods and service export market. Now countries are
working on CECA (Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement). Expediting
negotiations and pledging to conclude CECA by the end of 2023, trade ministers
of both countries have set an ambitious target of $100 billion in bilateral trade
in the next five years4.
For open, secure, inclusive, robust and dependable
global supply chains, in the aftermath of the Covid pandemic, India and
Australia along with Japan unveiled Supply Chain Resilience Initiative (SCRI). To
stabilise global supply chain resilience, the US has launched Indo-Pacific
Economic Framework under the Quad, both countries have now identified this new
platform to work together.
India’s climate goals are inexorably linked to the
clean energy transition which is reliant on the availability and access to critical
minerals. Realising the criticality of these minerals both countries signed MoU
for their sustained supply last year and resolved to take this cooperation
forward through India-Australia Minerals Scholar Network. Alongside, countries
have agreed to enhance cooperation in agriculture, science, technology,
innovation, space, renewable energy, hydrogen, solar energy, health, climate,
security, cybersecurity, humanitarian assistance, counter-terrorism, critical
& emerging technologies, and education5.
Under the pillar of Defence cooperation, countries
have commenced General Rawat Officers Exchange Program to foster cooperation
through the exchange of young soldiers between the countries. Furthermore, to
increase interoperability, maritime domain awareness and maritime partnership,
Australia besides hosting the Malabar 2023 exercises for the Quad countries
invited India to participate in Exercise Talisman Sabre 20236.
In November 2022, countries commenced the first military exercise- AUSTRAHIND22
in Rajasthan. The defence ministers of both countries are pushing for a Joint
Working Group on defence research and material cooperation7. India
along with Brazil stopped China from posing hurdles to the supply of nuclear-powered
submarines to Australia by the US8.
Indians form the second-largest overseas community in
Australia. Expressing concerns over a spate of temple vandalizations and
attacks on the Indian community, Prime Minister Modi sought assurance of the
safety of Indians in Australia9. In a major boost to the
strong educational ties between India and Australia, Australia announced to
recognise Indian educational degrees by signing the Mechanism for Mutual
Recognition of Qualifications10. Also, Australia’s Deakin
University and the University of Wollongong confirmed to set up their first
overseas campuses at GIFT city.
Countries have signed an agreement on Audiovisual
coproduction, MoU on Cooperation in Sports, Terms of Reference on
India-Australia Taskforce and a Letter of Intent for furthering innovation11.
PM Albanese invited PM Modi for the Quad Summit
meeting in May in Australia and announced to return to India for the G20 summit
in September. Needless to say, these frequent highest-level engagements are
bound to bring both countries closer. To nurture the expanding bilateral ties
Australian government pledged to fund $28.1 million Centre for Australia-India
Relations12. Bilateral relations over a period of time ebbed
and flowed. But now there is a new political will to deepen the relations.
Leaders exchanged views on various bilateral, regional
and global challenges including Myanmar, Ukraine, North Korea and Afghanistan.
Australia congratulated India on assuming the Chairmanship of the Wassenaar
Agreement.
Celebration of ‘colours, culture and cricket’ that
symbolised the spirit of friendship has been on a grand display with Albanese
participating in Holi celebrations and watching the Gavaskar-Border trophy test
match at Ahmedabad with PM Modi. PM Albanese also became the first foreign
leader to receive a guard of honour at India’s indigenously built aircraft
carrier INS Vikrant. He also visited the Indian Naval station at Kunjali.
Seismic changes in the geopolitical alignment,
structural changes in the economy, and multi-dimensional challenges from China
propelled the strategic alignment of democratic countries, India and Australia.
This new ‘strategic equilibrium’ is not a derivative of what a third country
does. As of now the strategic convergence over shared interests has overwhelmed
the differences including those on the Ukraine issue. To sustain this momentum,
it is incumbent on leaders to continuously reevaluate and review the ties to iron
out the differences and build a long-term robust partnership.
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